301 Dogwood St · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2-story townhome in Park Forest! This well-maintained home features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a huge basement offering plenty of storage or additional living space. Enjoy new flooring and fresh paint throughout, making this home move-in ready. A great opportunity for comfortable living at an affordable price!
Key facts
- $170 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: assessor; Property not currently leased; Directions: East on Sauk Trail Road to East 26th St to Westwood Dr
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $170; HOA covers insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, refuse collection, and snow removal; Manager off-site; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), maximum pet weight 50 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single-unit townhome, two-story; Entry level: 1; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association
- Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on lower level (11 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second level (12 x 14); Second bedroom on second level (12 x 12); Two additional bedrooms listed
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement; School bus service, commuter train access, and interstate access nearby
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.95%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,400
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291 Dogwood St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 12mo | $47,000 | $39 | 83 |
| 17 Michael Rd | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 18mo | $52,000 | $43 | 80 |
| 307 Dogwood St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 24mo | $74,000 | $62 | 79 |
| 11 Michael Rd | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $45 | 75 |
| 3414 Western Ave Unit 15-5 | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 | 1,200 (0%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $71 | 70 |
| 6 Mccarthy Rd #6 | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 43 Indianwood Blvd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 8mo | $83,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 215 Krotiak Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,218 (+2%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $37 | 56 |
| 29 Cunningham Ln | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,094 (-9%) | 5mo | $141,000 | $129 | 44 |
| 47 Dogwood St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-13%) | 22mo | $28,000 | $27 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $25,170
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $72,262
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,751 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$170
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $654 | -5% $630 | +0% $607 | +5% $583 | +10% $559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $468 | -5% $537 | +0% $607 | +5% $676 | +10% $745 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $649 | -0.5pp $628 | base $607 | +0.5pp $585 | +1.0pp $563 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,680 | $1.64 | 0d | 11 | 0.18mi |
| 11 Fir St Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,669 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit K12 Park Forest, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,415 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 236 Chestnut Ave Unit S South Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $2,000 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 444 Hickory St Unit 2A Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 436 W Hickory St Unit Na Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 432 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 417 W Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 316 W 34th St Steger, IL | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 720 | $1,493 | $2.07 | 2d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 370 E 17th St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $2,600 | $2.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $170 · $2,040/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 336-char remark
-
2026-06-18$84,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,571 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,739 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,571
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,681
- − Management
- −$1,681
- − HOA
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $6,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+162.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $84,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-19 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1994-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 1987-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2023): $1,571 · +278.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…