300 SW Palo Dr · Blue Springs, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Incredible Value & Major Upgrades in a fabulous Blue Springs neighborhood. Priced to Sell! Solid Bones with Premium Exterior Upgrades. Rare opportunity to grab a 47-year one owner home at a significant market discount! While the interior is ready for your creative vision and a fresh start, the "big ticket" exterior items are already taken care of for you. Enjoy peace of mind with a brand-new roof and gutters, plus a massive custom deck built 3 years ago, which is perfect for entertaining. A covered brick patio so you can cook your favorite food and stay dry while enjoying your favorite beverage. Don't forget that there is a 24-foot-wide above-ground pool in the backyard. Thi
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Massive custom deck
- Covered brick patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 1,080; below-grade finished area reported as 330; Home age approximately 41–50 years
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with basement entry and garage door opener (garage faces front); 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable, fiber, and high-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Split entry floor plan; Property faces north
- Construction: Board & batten siding with frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Covered patio; Metal fencing; Shed(s); City lot within city limits; Paved road with public maintenance; Above-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level; primary bedroom on main floor)
- Flooring: Ceramic; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermal windows; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement / lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Daniel Young Elem. (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #190 of 1,115 statewide, top 19%, 358 students, 34% FRL); Blue Springs South High (math 43% / reading 72%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,261 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.21%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $267,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 SW Palo Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,410 (0%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $156 | 97 |
| 400 SW Killarney Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+1%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $196 | 85 |
| 313 SW Blarney Ct | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $203 | 85 |
| 2608 SW Shamrock Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+0%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $177 | 83 |
| 508 SW Killarney Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (+2%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $190 | 82 |
| 2204 Keystone Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-3%) | 2mo | $276,900 | $202 | 67 |
| 600 SE Saratoga Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-3%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $220 | 60 |
| 604 SE Saratoga Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,383 (-2%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $216 | 59 |
| 212 SE Mount Vernon Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+12%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $177 | 57 |
| 1917 SE Abbey St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,543 (+9%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $175 | 48 |
| 1909 SE Abbey St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (+8%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $184 | 45 |
| 1812 SE 2nd St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+14%) | 1mo | $279,900 | $175 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-20,743
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $14,309
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64014
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $227 | +0% $165 | +5% $102 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $85 | +0% $165 | +5% $245 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $221 | base $165 | +0.5pp $108 | +1.0pp $50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 SW Shamrock Pl Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,095 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 500 SE Sherri Ln Blue Springs, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,095 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2101 SW 8th St Unit d Blue Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7901 South Highway 7 Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,997 | $1.70 | 3d | 11 | 0.60mi |
| 113 SE Rockwood St Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,160 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3901 SW 10th St Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1474 | $2,060 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1120 SW Brook Ct Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $2,028 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 900 SE Tequesta Ln Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1647 | $2,128 | $1.29 | 3d | 11 | 1.33mi |
| 200 SW Laurel Dr Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8107 SW 3rd St Blue Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,640 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-29$219,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,325 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,325 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,948
- − Management
- −$1,948
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$1,683
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Springs R-IV
- NCES district ID
- 2905310
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,959
- Composite
- 50.71/100
- National rank
- #1819
- State rank
- #17 of 324 in MO
Livability — Blue Springs
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blue Springs, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 61,033
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,788
- Household income
- $90,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 888.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.52%
- Current HPI
- 236.8685
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $219,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,325 · -21.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…