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2302 Bell St
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

2302 Bell St · Texarkana, TX 75501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1970 4,791 sqft lot $76/sqft · 120% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready- with 3 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car carport, covered patio, fenced backyard- call for your private showing today.

Key facts

  • Covered patio
  • Fenced backyard
  • 4,791 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED PATIOFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (covered) with 1 covered parking space — total 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Chain link fence; Concrete road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Blinds on windows; Vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Theron Jones Early Literacy Center (386 students, 98% FRL); Texas Middle (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,413 students, 75% FRL); Texas H S (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D-, #634 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 1,719 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.57%
Cash-on-cash
22.41%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,029
List price
$74,900
Delta
120.10%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1625 W 18th St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-8%) 4mo $29,988 $33 60
514 Connella St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-13%) 8mo $46,439 $54 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$11,286
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$35,885
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75501

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
326
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $792/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $620
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $434 -5% $413 +0% $392 +5% $370 +10% $349
Rent -10% $303 -5% $348 +0% $392 +5% $436 +10% $480
Rate -1.0pp $429 -0.5pp $411 base $392 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
519 Oak St Texarkana, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 612 $895 $1.46 46d 4 1.26mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $74,900 Pending 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-04-22
    listed $74,900 Active 122-char remark
  7. 2022-03-10
    soldstatus
  8. 1969-10-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$792 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$579/yr (+$48/mo · 73.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,391
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$792
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,071
− Management
−$1,071
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$3,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$890
After-tax cash flow
$3,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana ISD
NCES district ID
4842480
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,692
Composite
31.87/100
National rank
#5867
State rank
#472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
34,866
Household income
$45,995
Rent vs Own
42.9% rent · 57.1% own
Severe rent burden
1289.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.14%
Current HPI
147.9402
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $74,900 TBOR
  • 2022-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1969-10-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $792 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…