🏗️ New Construction
The Monroe A Plan · Emerson, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$294,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- Garage
- Listed 464 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-728 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (27.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (30.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#203 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Emerson Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 386 students, 67% FRL); Red Top Middle School (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 565 students, 70% FRL); Woodland High School (math 11% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,451 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 464 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 464 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.76%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,436
- List price
- $294,900
- Delta
- -7.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 489 Crown Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 3mo | $315,259 | $179 | 97 |
| 475 Crown Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $170 | 97 |
| 495 Crown Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $295,900 | $168 | 96 |
| 495 Crown Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $295,900 | $168 | 96 |
| 475 Crown Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $170 | 95 |
| 483 Crown Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $295,900 | $168 | 95 |
| 479 Crown Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $170 | 95 |
| 481 Crown Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $295,900 | $168 | 95 |
| 477 Crown Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $170 | 94 |
| 493 Crown Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (0%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $170 | 91 |
| 520 Crown Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,642 (-7%) | 4mo | $342,845 | $209 | 83 |
| 516 Crown Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,537 (-13%) | 5mo | $340,990 | $222 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $127,755
- Equity at exit
- $287,773
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.62×
- Total profit
- $412,905
- Equity at exit
- $620,594
Cash invested: $89,442 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30137
- Home prices YoY
- 13.0%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,063 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,675
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$399 /mo · $4,792/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-728
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-507 | -5% $-617 | +0% $-728 | +5% $-838 | +10% $-948 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-891 | -5% $-809 | +0% $-728 | +5% $-646 | +10% $-565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-567 | -0.5pp $-646 | base $-728 | +0.5pp $-810 | +1.0pp $-895 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,859
- Closing costs
- $9,583
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495 Crown Dr Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,050 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 493 Crown Dr Allatoona Tad Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,050 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 103 Park Ridge Cir Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $1,850 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 111 Park Ridge Cir Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 483 Crown Dr Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,050 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 481 Crown Dr Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 479 Crown Dr Unit 479 Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $2,050 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 479 Crown Dr Allatoona Tad Emerson, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,050 | $1.16 | 26d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 380 Crown Dr Cartersville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,079 | $2.06 | 0d | 26 | 0.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $294,900 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $294,900 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $294,900 Active 460 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $294,900 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $294,900 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $294,900 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $294,900 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $294,900 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $294,900 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $294,900 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $294,900 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $294,900 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $294,900 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $294,900 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $294,900 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
-
2026-03-21price $304,900 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
-
2025-12-19price $334,900 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
-
2025-12-18price $332,900 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
-
2025-03-14$330,900 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Beyond the front porch, you'll discover a spacious family room and a bright breakfast nook, both of which are seamlessly connected to the kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two secondary bedrooms alongside a private owner's suite
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,893
- − Property taxes
- −$4,792
- − Insurance
- −$1,597
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,981
- − Management
- −$1,981
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$9,293
- Taxable loss
- −$14,578
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,499
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300330
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,596
- Composite
- 29.16/100
- National rank
- #6577
- State rank
- #70 of 174 in GA
Livability — Emerson
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #12365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Emerson, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,807
Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,887 people
- By 2030
- 109,594 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 111,038 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 109,046 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 99,484 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 83,431 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bartow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 37.24%
- Current HPI
- 324.6054
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-10.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $294,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $304,900 Zillow
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $334,900 Zillow
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $332,900 Zillow
- 2025-03-14 Listed $330,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…