93 Overlook Dr · Clinton, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in this beautifully designed modern condo offering comfort, functionality, and resort-style amenities. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence features an open yet thoughtfully separated layout with a spacious kitchen that flows effortlessly into a dedicated dining area and bright living room. The inviting family room is highlighted by a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry, generous storage, and a well-proportioned bedroom retreat. An attached 1-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage, plus extra parking spaces for guests. Located in an amenity-filled community with access to a pool, tennis courts, basketball courts, and more, this property offers the ideal blend of comfort and active lifestyle. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor, this condo delivers value, convenience, and community all in one.
Key facts
- Modern condo
- Spacious kitchen
- In-unit laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-407 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (23.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#161 in NJ, #4,210 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Union Township School District (rural): math 40% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #93 of 472 in NJ (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Union Township Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #42 of 1,303 statewide, top 4%, 206 students, 2% FRL); Union Township Middle School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D+, #129 of 431 statewide, top 32%, 223 students, 2% FRL); North Hunterdon High School (math 38% / reading 67%, grade C-, #90 of 399 statewide, top 22%, 1,237 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 389 units permitted in Hunterdon County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hunterdon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.99%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,097
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -10.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Hillside Ct | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 1,065 (+4%) | 1mo | $213,000 | $200 | 86 |
| 16 Sam Bonnell Dr #116 | 0.23mi | 1/1.0 | 958 (-6%) | 17mo | $215,000 | $224 | 65 |
| 27 Sam Bonnell Dr | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 958 (-6%) | 19mo | $255,000 | $266 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $4,447
- Equity at exit
- $112,366
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $52,616
- Equity at exit
- $173,169
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08809-1133
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$409
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $-407
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-235 | -5% $-321 | +0% $-407 | +5% $-494 | +10% $-580 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-580 | -5% $-494 | +0% $-407 | +5% $-321 | +10% $-234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-281 | -0.5pp $-344 | base $-407 | +0.5pp $-472 | +1.0pp $-538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Overlook Dr Clinton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 18 Sam Bonnell Dr Clinton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $2,475 | $2.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 101 W Main St Clinton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,095 | $2.46 | 0d | 3 | 0.60mi |
| 42 W Main St Unit 3 Clinton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11 School St Clinton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,635 | $1.97 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 100 Ida Seals Dr Clinton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $2,650 | $2.98 | 0d | 6 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $409 · $4,908/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $249,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $249,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Under Contract 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in this beautifully designed modern condo offering comfort, functionality, and resort-style amenities. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence features an open yet thoughtfully separated layout with a spacious kitchen that flows effortlessly into a dedicated dining area and bright living room. The inviting family room is highlighted by a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry, generous storage, and a well-proportioned bedroom retreat. An attached 1-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage, plus extra parking spaces for guests. Located in an amenity-filled community with access to a pool, tennis courts, basketball courts, and more, this property offers the ideal blend of comfort and active lifestyle. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor, this condo delivers value, convenience, and community all in one.
-
2026-04-30price $249,900 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in this beautifully designed modern condo offering comfort, functionality, and resort-style amenities. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence features an open yet thoughtfully separated layout with a spacious kitchen that flows effortlessly into a dedicated dining area and bright living room. The inviting family room is highlighted by a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry, generous storage, and a well-proportioned bedroom retreat. An attached 1-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage, plus extra parking spaces for guests. Located in an amenity-filled community with access to a pool, tennis courts, basketball courts, and more, this property offers the ideal blend of comfort and active lifestyle. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor, this condo delivers value, convenience, and community all in one.
-
2026-03-20price $259,900 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in this beautifully designed modern condo offering comfort, functionality, and resort-style amenities. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence features an open yet thoughtfully separated layout with a spacious kitchen that flows effortlessly into a dedicated dining area and bright living room. The inviting family room is highlighted by a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry, generous storage, and a well-proportioned bedroom retreat. An attached 1-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage, plus extra parking spaces for guests. Located in an amenity-filled community with access to a pool, tennis courts, basketball courts, and more, this property offers the ideal blend of comfort and active lifestyle. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor, this condo delivers value, convenience, and community all in one.
-
2026-02-11$269,900 Active 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in this beautifully designed modern condo offering comfort, functionality, and resort-style amenities. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence features an open yet thoughtfully separated layout with a spacious kitchen that flows effortlessly into a dedicated dining area and bright living room. The inviting family room is highlighted by a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry, generous storage, and a well-proportioned bedroom retreat. An attached 1-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage, plus extra parking spaces for guests. Located in an amenity-filled community with access to a pool, tennis courts, basketball courts, and more, this property offers the ideal blend of comfort and active lifestyle. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor, this condo delivers value, convenience, and community all in one.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,748
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,101
- − Management
- −$2,101
- − HOA
- −$4,908
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$9,117
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This modern townhouse is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
- Minor kitchen backsplash — tile could be updated
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and backsplash — enhances aesthetics and functionality
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and value
- Both replace windows — increases energy efficiency and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen backsplash · tile could be updated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and backsplash — enhances aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace windows — increases energy efficiency and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416440
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $102,607
- Composite
- 49.79/100
- National rank
- #1958
- State rank
- #93 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #4210
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GSMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $249,900 GSMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $259,900 GSMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $269,900 GSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…