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455 9th St NE #52
B- Composite 68.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

455 9th St NE #52 · East Wenatchee, WA 98802
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1978 $81/sqft · 7% above area Est $70k · 7% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Highland Terrace, a 55+ community centrally located with easy access to town. This well maintained 1978 single wide offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 924 sqft of comfortable living space on a desirable corner lot for added privacy. The soft sunny exterior paired with well maintained landscaping creates inviting curb appeal. Inside, updated flooring and double pane energy efficient windows enhance comfort throughout. Enjoy beautiful Cascade Mountain views, a covered patio for relaxing, and a spacious bonus room ideal for hobbies or additional storage. The property also features a raised garden area, storage shed, one covered parking space, and one additional uncovered space. Comforta

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Double pane windows
  • Covered patio

Tags

CORNER LOTUPDATED FLOORINGDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSCASCADE MOUNTAIN VIEWSCOVERED PATIOBONUS ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $985 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 2.9% in East Wenatchee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#54 in WA, #972 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Eastmont School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #118 of 291 in WA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lee Elementary (541 students, 72% FRL); Eastmont Senior High (1,454 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 263 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.42%
Cap rate
22.05%
Cash-on-cash
56.26%
DSCR
3.50
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,982
List price
$75,000
Delta
7.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
455 9th St NE #34 0.04mi 2/1.0 938 (+2%) 11mo $70,000 $75 87
455 NE 9th St #43 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 10mo $55,000 $60 85
455 9th St NE #20 0.04mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 16mo $84,000 $91 80
341 N Georgia Ave 0.62mi 2/2.0 900 (-3%) 13mo $85,000 $94 52
323 N Georgia Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 910 (-2%) 23mo $49,000 $54 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$47,786
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$111,338
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98802

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
326
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,817 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $316/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$985

Break-even live

Break-even rent $571
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,027 -5% $1,006 +0% $985 +5% $963 +10% $942
Rent -10% $841 -5% $913 +0% $985 +5% $1,056 +10% $1,128
Rate -1.0pp $1,022 -0.5pp $1,004 base $985 +0.5pp $965 +1.0pp $945

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
933 N Baker Ave Apt 10 East Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 45d 1 0.26mi
623 N Baker Ave Apt D East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,695 $1.68 45d 1 0.29mi
224 6th St NE East Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 966 $1,895 $1.96 45d 1 0.40mi
1345 N Devon Ave Unit 6 East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.5 985 $1,750 $1.78 45d 1 0.51mi
667 4th St NE Apt I201 East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 884 $1,650 $1.87 45d 1 0.53mi
460 N James Ave Unit 456 James East Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 850 $2,495 $2.94 45d 1 0.84mi
711 Methow St Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,295 $2.16 45d 1 1.10mi
1121 Monitor Ave Unit A Upstairs Wenatchee, WA 3.0 1.0 800 $1,695 $2.12 45d 1 1.15mi
1121 Monitor Ave Unit 1/2 Downstairs Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 45d 1 1.15mi
419 S Pace Dr Unit 419 East Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,595 $2.23 45d 1 1.22mi
207 Yakima St Unit 310 Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 586 $1,250 $2.13 45d 1 1.24mi
410 Kittitas St Unit B Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 45d 1 1.30mi
819 Malaga Ave Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,495 $1.76 45d 1 1.33mi
511 Yakima St #10 Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 684 $1,495 $2.19 45d 1 1.41mi
214 Antles Ave Unit 309 Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,695 $1.88 45d 1 1.44mi
212 Antles St Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 45d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    price $75,000
  3. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-19
    listed $86,000 Active
  6. 2024-06-26
    soldstatus $81,500 Closed
  7. 2024-06-09
    status Pending
  8. 2024-05-29
    listed $83,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$316 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$735 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 132.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,804
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$316
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$11,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,698
After-tax cash flow
$9,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eastmont School District
NCES district ID
5302310
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$56,015
Composite
47.31/100
National rank
#5047
State rank
#118 of 291 in WA

Livability — East Wenatchee

Score
83/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#972

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Wenatchee, WA
County
Douglas County · 33,539 people
City population
33,539
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,539
Household income
$87,744
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
741.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,264 people
By 2030
47,398 · +4.7%
By 2040
51,407 · +13.6%
By 2050
55,020 · +21.6%
By 2075
63,862 · +41.1%
By 2100
69,870 · +54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+24.1 2016: R+31.5 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -570.14%
Current HPI
305.0094
Rent YoY
▲ 1.47%
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $86,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-26 Sold (MLS) $81,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $83,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $316 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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