🏗️ New Construction
Custom Build Plan · Pine Ridge at Crestwood, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!
Key facts
- Split floor layout
- Private driveway
- Beautiful cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $111k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $111k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.9% in Pine Ridge at Crestwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#481 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.55%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $19,225
- Equity at exit
- $16,536
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $64,707
- Equity at exit
- $9,589
Cash invested: $31,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08759
- Active inventory
- 648
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$582
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $584
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,725
- Closing costs
- $3,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Partridge Pl Manchester Township, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,780 | $1.43 | 12d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| — Manchester Township, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 10d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7 Teal Ct Whiting, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 57D Milford Ave Unit 53 Whiting, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $110,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-09status Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!
-
2026-05-08$109,900 Active 1335-char remark
Show marketing remark (1335 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a beautiful 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find split floor plan giving you and your guest privacy. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk-in shower and outlets on every wall. Additional bedroom provides versatility for guests, a home office, or den. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard , and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, clubhouse, bocce courts, and private transportation. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!
-
2026-03-25historical 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!
-
2026-03-13$110,900 Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,506
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,212
- − Property taxes
- −$1,664
- − Insurance
- −$554
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$3,226
- Taxable income
- $5,569
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2023 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home in a 55+ community is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
- Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal ↑
- Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,905
- Composite
- 28.8/100
- National rank
- #6662
- State rank
- #320 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Pine Ridge at Crestwood
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #481
- US rank
- #18916
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Ridge at Crestwood, NJ
- City population
- 34,290
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,290
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.85%
- Current HPI
- 274.4679
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-0.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-08 Listed $109,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-13 Listed $110,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…