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Custom Build Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 69.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,900

Custom Build Plan · Pine Ridge at Crestwood, NJ 08759
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 53 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

Key facts

  • Split floor layout
  • Private driveway
  • Beautiful cabinetry

Tags

KITCHEN APPLIANCES INCLUDEDGENEROUS CLOSET SPACESPLIT FLOOR LAYOUTADDITIONAL STORAGE SPACEBEAUTIFUL CABINETRYPRIVATE DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $111k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $111k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.9% in Pine Ridge at Crestwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#481 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $107,573 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.61%
Cash-on-cash
22.55%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$19,225
Equity at exit
$16,536
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$64,707
Equity at exit
$9,589

Cash invested: $31,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
648
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$582
Tax est. 1.5%
$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$584

Break-even live

Break-even rent $970
Max offer price $110,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,725
Closing costs
$3,327
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Partridge Pl Manchester Township, NJ 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,780 $1.43 12d 1 0.27mi
Manchester Township, NJ 2.0 2.0 1141 $1,700 $1.49 10d 1 0.28mi
7 Teal Ct Whiting, NJ 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,600 $1.52 3d 1 0.44mi
57D Milford Ave Unit 53 Whiting, NJ 2.0 1.0 880 $1,800 $2.05 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $110,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-09
    status Active 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $109,900 Active 1335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1335 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a beautiful 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find split floor plan giving you and your guest privacy. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk-in shower and outlets on every wall. Additional bedroom provides versatility for guests, a home office, or den. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard , and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, clubhouse, bocce courts, and private transportation. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

  16. 2026-03-25
    historical 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $110,900 Active 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Pine Ridge at Crestwood a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale or rent featuring 1056.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Whiting, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find a split floor plan, vinyl floors, perimeter heating, energy efficient window. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and recess lighting, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like walk-in shower with seating. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a hobby room. Outside you will enjoy low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Pine Ridge at Crestwood, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including fitness center, two clubhouses, bocce courts, private transportation, and weekly activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, major highways, parks, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,506
− Mortgage interest
−$6,212
− Property taxes
−$1,664
− Insurance
−$554
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,641
− Management
−$1,641
− Depreciation
−$3,226
Taxable income
$5,569
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,337
After-tax cash flow
$5,667/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2023 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home in a 55+ community is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
  • Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
  • Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pine Ridge at Crestwood

Score
60/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#18916

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Ridge at Crestwood, NJ
City population
34,290
Population (ZIP)
34,290

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.85%
Current HPI
274.4679
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $109,900 Zillow
  • 2026-03-25 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $110,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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