145 Nys Route 67 · Mechanicville, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique investment opportunity in the Mechanicville School District. This multi-structure property features a front home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bath that is in need of major rehabilitation and repair. The rear structure was formerly a garage and has been converted to living space upstairs with a 1 bedroom, 1 bath layout. The lower level is plumbed for a second bathroom and could be finished for additional living space. Property is serviced by city water and septic. Buyers to verify zoning with the local municipality regarding potential conversion to a multi-unit property. With improvements, this property could make a great addition to a long-term rental portfolio. CASH BUYERS ONLY, ASSIGNMENT OF CONTRACT.
Key facts
- Septic
- City water
- 0.34 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 1.9% in Mechanicville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D.
- Mechanicville City School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.51%
- DSCR
- 3.83
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $526,866
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -83.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Seashore Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (+3%) | 4mo | $495,386 | $300 | 50 |
| 74 Seashore Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-4%) | 1mo | $431,619 | $281 | 49 |
| 72 Seashore Way | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-4%) | 4mo | $441,705 | $288 | 47 |
| 18 Island Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-4%) | 7mo | $429,520 | $280 | 45 |
| 22 Island Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-4%) | 8mo | $432,565 | $282 | 45 |
| 24 Island Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,674 (+5%) | 9mo | $452,814 | $270 | 40 |
| 30 Olympia Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,642 (+3%) | 22mo | $587,406 | $358 | 37 |
| 73 Seashore Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,814 (+14%) | 9mo | $476,498 | $263 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $122,442
- Equity at exit
- $76,575
- IRR
- 66.2%
- Equity multiple
- 13.65×
- Total profit
- $301,118
- Equity at exit
- $165,136
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12118
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,494 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,757/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $1,193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Seashore Way Mechanicville, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $3,500 | $2.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2 Battery Blvd Mechanicville, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $3,450 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $85,000 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Unique investment opportunity in the Mechanicville School District. This multi-structure property features a front home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bath that is in need of major rehabilitation and repair. The rear structure was formerly a garage and has been converted to living space upstairs with a 1 bedroom, 1 bath layout. The lower level is plumbed for a second bathroom and could be finished for additional living space. Property is serviced by city water and septic. Buyers to verify zoning with the local municipality regarding potential conversion to a multi-unit property. With improvements, this property could make a great addition to a long-term rental portfolio. CASH BUYERS ONLY, ASSIGNMENT OF CONTRACT.
-
2026-04-08price $87,500 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Unique investment opportunity in the Mechanicville School District. This multi-structure property features a front home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bath that is in need of major rehabilitation and repair. The rear structure was formerly a garage and has been converted to living space upstairs with a 1 bedroom, 1 bath layout. The lower level is plumbed for a second bathroom and could be finished for additional living space. Property is serviced by city water and septic. Buyers to verify zoning with the local municipality regarding potential conversion to a multi-unit property. With improvements, this property could make a great addition to a long-term rental portfolio. CASH BUYERS ONLY, ASSIGNMENT OF CONTRACT.
-
2026-03-05$90,000 Active 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Unique investment opportunity in the Mechanicville School District. This multi-structure property features a front home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bath that is in need of major rehabilitation and repair. The rear structure was formerly a garage and has been converted to living space upstairs with a 1 bedroom, 1 bath layout. The lower level is plumbed for a second bathroom and could be finished for additional living space. Property is serviced by city water and septic. Buyers to verify zoning with the local municipality regarding potential conversion to a multi-unit property. With improvements, this property could make a great addition to a long-term rental portfolio. CASH BUYERS ONLY, ASSIGNMENT OF CONTRACT.
-
2025-02-20historical
-
2024-10-17price $110,000
-
2024-09-17price $114,900
-
2024-08-29$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,757 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,757 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,757
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,395
- − Management
- −$2,395
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $13,930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618900
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,701
- Composite
- 49.33/100
- National rank
- #2021
- State rank
- #270 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mechanicville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #10227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- City population
- 17,069
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,069
- Household income
- $92,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 8% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.43%
- Current HPI
- 343.9893
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-29.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $85,000 Global MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $87,500 Global MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $90,000 Global MLS
- 2025-02-20 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $110,000 Global MLS
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed $114,900 Global MLS
- 2024-08-29 Listed $119,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,757 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…