333 Ogden Ave · Ogden, UT
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Single level living
- Near downtown ogden
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.12 acres; Zoned for single-family; Approximately 680 above-grade finished area
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 1 covered garage space; 1 open parking space; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Bungalow/Cottage style; Single-level living (ground level); Faces west; Single-family use; Owner listed as REO/Bank Owned
- Construction: Composition roofing with pitched roof; Built/standing construction; Construction materials: composition and other
- Exterior features: Open porch; Open patio; Paved road access; Partially landscaped; Flat terrain
Interior
- Kitchen: Free standing range/oven; Portable dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: Free standing range/oven; Ceiling fan; Portable dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($398/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bonneville School (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #547 of 585 statewide, top 94%, 251 students, 100% FRL); Highland Junior High (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #135 of 138 statewide, top 98%, 715 students, 0% FRL); Ben Lomond High (math 11% / reading 28%, grade F, #158 of 171 statewide, top 94%, 1,169 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 75% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 611 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.79%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-28,099
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-25,968
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84404
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 611
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,781/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $135 | -5% $84 | +0% $33 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-27 | +0% $33 | +5% $93 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $79 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-61 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 2nd St Ogden, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 15d | 5 | 0.14mi |
| 200 N Harrisville Rd Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 940 Kiesel Ave Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,200 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 820 Monroe Blvd Ogden, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 24d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 231 W 12th St Ogden, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,544 | $1.90 | 15d | 14 | 1.18mi |
| 1075 Century Dr Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $1,599 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 407 W 12th St Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 694 | $1,650 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3022 S Jefferson Ave Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,350 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1175 Canyon Rd #67 Ogden, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 436 | $895 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 394-char remark
-
2026-06-09$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,235
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,781
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$644
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,041/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogden City District
- NCES district ID
- 4900720
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,974
- Composite
- 23.76/100
- National rank
- #7818
- State rank
- #72 of 80 in UT
Livability — Ogden
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogden, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 152,611
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,587
- Household income
- $85,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1201.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -317.85%
- Current HPI
- 323.2499
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+44.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $180,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-10-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-17 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2022-09-20 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-08-15 Listed $265,000 WFRMLS
- 2020-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2020-05-24 Contingent — WFRMLS
- 2020-05-18 Listed $168,000 WFRMLS
- 2018-02-28 Listed $125,000 WFRMLS
- 2018-02-28 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2018-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,781 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…