709 W South St · Harrisonville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for first time buyer, downsizing or investment. 2bdrn/1bath ranch on crawl space. Updated bathroom, all appliances stay, flex room that could be 3rd bedroom or office. Fenced backyard. Great location
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Garage on site
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Ranch floor plan; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built 51–75 years ago
- Exterior features: Metal fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($250/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Harrisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#231 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Harrisonville R-IX (town): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #150 of 324 in MO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.54%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 Sanders St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,118 (+6%) | 12mo | $209,000 | $187 | 76 |
| 606 W South St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+6%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $170 | 76 |
| 706 W Clay St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-2%) | 13mo | $207,000 | $199 | 71 |
| 1105 Green St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,130 (+7%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $168 | 69 |
| 801 S Main St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-1%) | 9mo | $189,900 | $182 | 68 |
| 403 Ann Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,046 (-1%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $253 | 61 |
| 402 W Mechanic St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-1%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 609 W Mechanic St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (+11%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $170 | 51 |
| 700 Green St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 964 (-9%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $171 | 51 |
| 1601 S Independence St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 2mo | $234,000 | $195 | 50 |
| 1603 S King Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,086 (+3%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $207 | 41 |
| 2205 Jil St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-14%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $247 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-25,468
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-20,699
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64701
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $996/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $67 | +0% $21 | +5% $-26 | +10% $-73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-83 | -5% $-31 | +0% $21 | +5% $73 | +10% $125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $63 | base $21 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1109 Garden Way Unit 1111 Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,285 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1111 Garden Way Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,318 | $0.98 | 8d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 900 S Lexington St Unit B Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 701 Linwood Dr Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 915 | $1,275 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2201 Mission Rd Unit 33 Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2201 Twin Oaks Dr Apt 1 Harrisonville, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1001 Twin Oaks Ter Unit 47 Harrisonville, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1001 Twin Oaks Ter Unit 52 Harrisonville, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 902 Mission Rd Harrisonville, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 900 Mission Rd Harrisonville, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,575 | $1.21 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2002 Ann Ave Harrisonville, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,649 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 217-char remark
-
2026-06-15$165,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $996 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$604/yr (+$50/mo · 60.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$996
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,621
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$629
- After-tax cash flow
- $879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisonville R-IX
- NCES district ID
- 2913760
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,997
- Composite
- 33.61/100
- National rank
- #5409
- State rank
- #150 of 324 in MO
Livability — Harrisonville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #11262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisonville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,462
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,292 people
- By 2030
- 106,109 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 105,786 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 102,062 · -3.1%
- By 2075
- 88,569 · -15.9%
- By 2100
- 68,293 · -35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.32%
- Current HPI
- 204.7926
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $165,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $996 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…