323 N 3rd St · Seymour, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$42,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own this nice size 4 bedroom home in a quaint small town. Newer LVP flooring through out. Beautiful wood work. Full unfinished basement. Located near to the school. Small garage.
Key facts
- Small garage
- First floor laundry
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#374 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Seymour Community School District (rural): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #326 of 330 in IA (top 99%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($294 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 38% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $29k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.61%
- DSCR
- 3.30
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,430
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 E Lee St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (+5%) | 3mo | $32,500 | $24 | 80 |
| 622 W Main St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-3%) | 19mo | $209,000 | $167 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $44,170
- Equity at exit
- $25,938
- IRR
- 57.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.80×
- Total profit
- $104,681
- Equity at exit
- $46,379
Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52590
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$223
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $536 | -5% $524 | +0% $512 | +5% $500 | +10% $488 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $428 | -5% $470 | +0% $512 | +5% $554 | +10% $596 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $533 | -0.5pp $523 | base $512 | +0.5pp $501 | +1.0pp $490 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,625
- Closing costs
- $1,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-17soldstatus $28,800 Closed 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Great opportunity to own this nice size 4 bedroom home in a quaint small town. Newer LVP flooring through out. Beautiful wood work. Full unfinished basement. Located near to the school. Small garage.
-
2026-01-20status Pending 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Great opportunity to own this nice size 4 bedroom home in a quaint small town. Newer LVP flooring through out. Beautiful wood work. Full unfinished basement. Located near to the school. Small garage.
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05$30,750 Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Great opportunity to own this nice size 4 bedroom home in a quaint small town. Newer LVP flooring through out. Beautiful wood work. Full unfinished basement. Located near to the school. Small garage.
-
2025-11-25price $36,125
-
2025-11-21status Active
-
2025-10-17status Pending
-
2025-10-17status Pending
-
2025-09-25price $42,500
-
2025-09-25price $42,500
-
2025-08-27$50,000 Active
-
2025-08-27$50,000 Active
-
2022-09-12soldstatus $59,000
-
2022-09-09soldstatus $59,000
-
2022-04-04$64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,747
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,381
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$1,236
- Taxable income
- $5,836
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seymour Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1925620
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,840
- Composite
- 43.95/100
- National rank
- #6276
- State rank
- #326 of 330 in IA
Livability — Seymour
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #7871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seymour, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,433
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,213 people
- By 2030
- 6,109 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 5,926 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 5,716 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 5,502 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 4,890 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 21% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · German/W. Germanic 34% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 20.6% · R 77.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+51.8 2016: R+46.2 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Current HPI
- 172.3926
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-55.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Sold (MLS) $28,800 DMMLS
- 2026-01-20 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $30,750 DMMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $36,125 DMMLS
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — DMMLS
- 2025-10-17 Pending — IAR
- 2025-10-17 Pending — DMMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $42,500 IAR
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $42,500 DMMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $50,000 IAR
- 2025-08-27 Listed $50,000 DMMLS
- 2022-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-09 Sold (MLS) $59,000 IAR
- 2022-04-04 Listed $64,000 IAR
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,042 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…