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86 Bernside Dr
D Composite 42.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

86 Bernside Dr · Bristol, CT 06010
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,479 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1953 9,147 sqft lot $189/sqft · 20% below area Est $350k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Keypad keyless entry at side door
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family home
  • Construction: Other construction; No foundation listed
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil-fired) with above-ground fuel tank; Window air conditioning unit
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (16.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (19.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ellen P. Hubbell School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #256 of 553 statewide, top 48%, 352 students, 70% FRL); Chippens Hill Middle School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #111 of 175 statewide, top 63%, 580 students, 53% FRL); Bristol Eastern High School (math 23% / reading 51%, grade F, #112 of 194 statewide, top 60%, 1,113 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 37% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $224,521 (19.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.96%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$350,101
List price
$279,900
Delta
-20.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
86 Bernside Dr 0.00mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,479 (0%) 0mo $330,000 $223 95
334 W Washington St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,536 (+4%) 4mo $305,000 $199 81
19 Garfield Rd 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,468 (-1%) 11mo $300,000 $204 72
64 4th St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,575 (+6%) 0mo $370,000 $235 68
261 King St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,267 (-14%) 12mo $305,000 $241 63
16 Knox Pl 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,534 (+4%) 7mo $400,000 $261 62
225 Stonecrest Dr 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,628 (+10%) 3mo $275,000 $169 60
62 Chatham Ln 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,329 (-10%) 2mo $290,000 $218 58
230 W Washington St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,349 (-9%) 12mo $275,000 $204 55
23 Daniel Rd 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+11%) 5mo $390,000 $238 52
104 Blakeslee St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-8%) 10mo $331,000 $244 50
54 W Washington St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,379 (-7%) 7mo $550,000 $399 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-56,170
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-45,719
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06010

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,245 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$448 /mo · $5,377/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$471
Net cashflow
$-259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,573
Max offer price $234,180
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-100 -5% $-180 +0% $-259 +5% $-338 +10% $-417
Rent -10% $-436 -5% $-347 +0% $-259 +5% $-170 +10% $-81
Rate -1.0pp $-118 -0.5pp $-188 base $-259 +0.5pp $-331 +1.0pp $-405

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
380 King St #5 Bristol, CT 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,750 $1.91 21d 1 0.14mi
82 Bartholomew St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,100 $1.75 5d 1 0.79mi
65 Wooding St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 45d 1 0.97mi
301 Main St Apt 28 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,400 $2.09 45d 1 1.14mi
371 Emmett St #62 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 3d 1 1.15mi
130 Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 1.21mi
130 Main St Unit 310 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 1.21mi
130 Main St Unit 210 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 1.21mi
130 Main St Unit 404 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1213 $2,500 $2.06 45d 1 1.21mi
130 Main St Unit 410 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1541 $3,200 $2.08 45d 1 1.21mi
74 Burlington Ave Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 976 $1,300 $1.33 45d 1 1.22mi
410 Emmett St #21 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1092 $1,750 $1.60 25d 1 1.24mi
100 Main St Unit 307 Bristol, CT 3.0 2.0 1607 $2,700 $1.68 45d 1 1.24mi
100 Main St Unit 201 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1283 $2,300 $1.79 45d 1 1.24mi
29 Lincoln Pl Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,100 $1.75 45d 1 1.25mi
100 N Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 1.27mi
100 N Main St Unit 105 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1441 $2,600 $1.80 21d 1 1.27mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-310 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 1.29mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-411 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,600 $1.98 45d 1 1.29mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-206 Bristol, CT 3.0 2.0 1441 $2,700 $1.87 25d 1 1.29mi
130 N Main St Unit 107 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,600 $1.88 16d 1 1.29mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 1.29mi
56 Ingraham Pl Unit 3 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 17d 1 1.30mi
32 Ingraham St Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1295 $1,700 $1.31 25d 1 1.36mi
62 Briarwood Rd Apt 2 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.37mi
411 N Main St #15 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 875 $1,595 $1.82 25d 1 1.38mi
155 Redstone Hill Rd #176 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1104 $2,100 $1.90 45d 1 1.38mi
431 N Main St Unit 16 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 950 $1,695 $1.78 45d 1 1.38mi
425 N Main St Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,595 $1.77 45d 1 1.38mi
411 N Main St Unit 8 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,595 $1.58 45d 1 1.38mi
130 Church St Bristol, CT 3.0 1.5 1422 $1,900 $1.34 13d 1 1.38mi
515 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 936 $1,650 $1.76 23d 1 1.38mi
513 Emmett St Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 936 $2,000 $2.14 3d 1 1.40mi
513 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 936 $2,000 $2.14 21d 1 1.40mi
57 Kelley St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 952 $1,550 $1.63 12d 1 1.43mi
34 Center St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 45d 1 1.45mi
57 Union St Bristol, CT 3.0 2.5 1000 $2,850 $2.85 3d 1 1.46mi
124 Lakeside Dr #109 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1320 $2,200 $1.67 21d 1 1.47mi
484 West St Unit 3rd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1256 $1,850 $1.47 45d 1 1.49mi
484 West St Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1256 $1,900 $1.51 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Under Contract 518-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $279,900 Active 518-char remark
  3. 2015-07-22
    soldstatus $125,000 155-char remark
    Show marketing remark (155 chars)

    Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location

  4. 2014-06-12
    listed $129,900 155-char remark
    Show marketing remark (155 chars)

    Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,377 · $448/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,683 · $474/mo
Expected delta
+$306/yr (+$26/mo · 5.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,943
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$5,377
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,155
− Management
−$2,155
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$7,966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,912
After-tax cash flow
$-1,194/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bristol School District
NCES district ID
0900510
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,953
Composite
32.07/100
National rank
#5814
State rank
#109 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bristol, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
61,684
Household income
$79,314
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -293.55%
Current HPI
255.5419
Rent YoY
▲ 5.41%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $330,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $279,900 Smart MLS
  • 2015-07-22 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Smart MLS
  • 2014-06-12 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,377 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…