86 Bernside Dr · Bristol, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Keypad keyless entry at side door
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single family home
- Construction: Other construction; No foundation listed
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil-fired) with above-ground fuel tank; Window air conditioning unit
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ellen P. Hubbell School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #256 of 553 statewide, top 48%, 352 students, 70% FRL); Chippens Hill Middle School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #111 of 175 statewide, top 63%, 580 students, 53% FRL); Bristol Eastern High School (math 23% / reading 51%, grade F, #112 of 194 statewide, top 60%, 1,113 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 37% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.96%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,101
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -20.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Bernside Dr | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,479 (0%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $223 | 95 |
| 334 W Washington St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (+4%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $199 | 81 |
| 19 Garfield Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,468 (-1%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 64 4th St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,575 (+6%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $235 | 68 |
| 261 King St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,267 (-14%) | 12mo | $305,000 | $241 | 63 |
| 16 Knox Pl | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,534 (+4%) | 7mo | $400,000 | $261 | 62 |
| 225 Stonecrest Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,628 (+10%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 62 Chatham Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,329 (-10%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $218 | 58 |
| 230 W Washington St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (-9%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $204 | 55 |
| 23 Daniel Rd | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,642 (+11%) | 5mo | $390,000 | $238 | 52 |
| 104 Blakeslee St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (-8%) | 10mo | $331,000 | $244 | 50 |
| 54 W Washington St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,379 (-7%) | 7mo | $550,000 | $399 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-56,170
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-45,719
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06010
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$448 /mo · $5,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $-259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-100 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-338 | +10% $-417 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-436 | -5% $-347 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-170 | +10% $-81 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-118 | -0.5pp $-188 | base $-259 | +0.5pp $-331 | +1.0pp $-405 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380 King St #5 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,750 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 82 Bartholomew St Unit 2 Bristol, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 65 Wooding St Unit 2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 301 Main St Apt 28 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 371 Emmett St #62 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 310 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 210 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 404 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $2,500 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 410 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1541 | $3,200 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 74 Burlington Ave Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 410 Emmett St #21 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,750 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 100 Main St Unit 307 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $2,700 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 100 Main St Unit 201 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1283 | $2,300 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 29 Lincoln Pl Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 100 N Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 100 N Main St Unit 105 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,600 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 130 N Main St Unit 130-310 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 130 N Main St Unit 130-411 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,600 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 130 N Main St Unit 130-206 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,700 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 130 N Main St Unit 107 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,600 | $1.88 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 130 N Main St Unit 130-211 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 56 Ingraham Pl Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 32 Ingraham St Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 62 Briarwood Rd Apt 2 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 411 N Main St #15 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,595 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 155 Redstone Hill Rd #176 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 431 N Main St Unit 16 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,695 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 425 N Main St Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 411 N Main St Unit 8 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,595 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 130 Church St Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1422 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 515 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,650 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 513 Emmett St Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,000 | $2.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 513 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,000 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 57 Kelley St Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 34 Center St Unit 2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 57 Union St Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $2,850 | $2.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 124 Lakeside Dr #109 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 484 West St Unit 3rd Floor Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 484 West St Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Under Contract 518-char remark
-
2026-05-06$279,900 Active 518-char remark
-
2015-07-22soldstatus $125,000 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location
-
2014-06-12$129,900 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Oversized 7 room, 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bath cape, eat in kitchen with appliances, 1st floor masterbed, family room in partial finished lower level, nice location
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,377 · $448/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,683 · $474/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$26/mo · 5.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$5,377
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,155
- − Management
- −$2,155
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$7,966
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,953
- Composite
- 32.07/100
- National rank
- #5814
- State rank
- #109 of 153 in CT
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #1585
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 61,684
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,684
- Household income
- $79,314
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -293.55%
- Current HPI
- 255.5419
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.41%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+154.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $330,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $279,900 Smart MLS
- 2015-07-22 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Smart MLS
- 2014-06-12 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,377 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…