1563 Park Meadows Dr #3 · Villas, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +0.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-BR / 2-BA townhouse is located in Parkwood’s Townhouse Community in south Fort Myers, FL. This property is perfect for an investor or someone who enjoys putting a modern touch on a home. The living room area is an open floor plan with access to a large fenced-in outdoor patio. The kitchen has light cabinets and complementary countertops including a breakfast bar and access to the outdoor patio. The dining area is perfect for a small dining set. Across from the dining area is a bathroom and laundry area. Upstairs are 2 large bedrooms each with a large closet and a balcony overlooking the courtyard. The bathroom upstairs has a double vanity and a shower/tub. Pets are allowed: 2 u
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Laundry area
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed conditionally (call), maximum 2 pets, max 40 lb
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with management; Quarterly association fee ($600); Association includes trash service; Community amenities include pool; Non-gated community; 104 units in community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Detached carport with 2 covered spaces; Two spaces assigned
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Condo/townhouse (2 stories); Faces south; Resale property; Zoned RM-2
- Construction: Built with block, concrete and stucco; Tile and wood roof
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Fence; Patio; Community pool; Rectangular lot; North exposure; Municipal irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Double-hung windows; Breakfast bar; Tub/shower; Upper-level primary; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($158/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 1.3% in Villas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#94 in FL, #1,462 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-9.7%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $135k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.53%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $388,080
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1661 Whiskey Creek Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,365 (+8%) | 8mo | $420,000 | $308 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-25,295
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-37,369
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33907
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- -9.7%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,819/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $90 | -5% $51 | +0% $13 | +5% $-25 | +10% $-63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-106 | -5% $-47 | +0% $13 | +5% $73 | +10% $133 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $48 | base $13 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-57 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1549 Park Meadows Dr #4 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,600 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1653 Park Meadows Dr Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,499 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1608 Park Meadows Dr #1 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $1,950 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7752 Tamara Lee Ct #103 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5542 Malt Dr #2 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5572 Malt Dr #4 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5540 Tenth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,650 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5540 Tenth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,650 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5537 Tenth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7334-7371 Pinnacle Pines Dr Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 3d | 6 | 0.26mi |
| 5451 Eleventh Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,195 | $0.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5457 9th Ave Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,050 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5551 Fifth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5551 Fifth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5551 Fifth Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5545 5th Ave Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,525 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5510 Third Ave Unit 5504B Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5510 Third Ave Unit 5510 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1722 Maple Dr Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1716 | $995 | $0.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5319 Summerlin Rd Unit 5319 Summerlin Road, 1913 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5331 Summerlin Rd Unit 5331-12 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5873 Wyldewood Lakes Ct Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,875 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5317 Summerlin Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5317 Summerlin Rd #1702 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5329 Summerlin Rd #2903 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5307 Summerlin Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5307 Summerlin Rd #712 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5307 Summerlin Rd #707 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5335 Hawks Landing Dr Unit 202 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,555 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5305 Summerlin Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5305 Summerlin Rd #506 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5305 Summerlin Rd #501 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12750 Equestrian Cir #3005 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5883 Sand Oak Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $2,300 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5323 Summerlin Rd #2307 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5323 Summerlin Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1830 Brantley Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,398 | $1.07 | 17d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 1830 Brantley Rd Unit J-9 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,375 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5001 Palm Pointe Ct Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $2,150 | $2.17 | 3d | 35 | 0.74mi |
| 6136 Whiskey Creek Dr #503 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,699 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-05-03status Active
-
2026-03-28status Pending
-
2026-03-23$135,000 Active
-
1990-10-30soldstatus $53,000
-
1984-08-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,819
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,928
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$463
- After-tax cash flow
- $621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Villas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #1462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Villas, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 24,828
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,033
- Household income
- $52,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1960.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 21% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.02%
- Current HPI
- 254.2264
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -9.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+181.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2026-03-28 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $135,000 FORTMLS
- 1990-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1984-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,819 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…