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27474 Norma Dr
D- Composite 38.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

27474 Norma Dr · Warren, MI 48093
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,354 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1963 6,970 sqft lot Est $242k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1963

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Family room fireplace; Therapeutic whirlpool
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Humidifier

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Warren Woods Public Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #336 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $176,498 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.61%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,366
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27548 Bonnie Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,318 (-3%) 1mo $288,500 $219 88
11820 Mckinley Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,303 (-4%) 6mo $220,000 $169 68
28540 Roan Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,380 (+2%) 3mo $220,000 $159 64
13262 Carol Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,424 (+5%) 1mo $262,900 $185 60
27125 Gilbert Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-8%) 6mo $224,000 $179 59
27264 Gilbert Dr Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,463 (+8%) 10mo $256,000 $175 58
11311 Irvington Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,408 (+4%) 4mo $253,000 $180 56
13342 De Mott Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,421 (+5%) 6mo $255,000 $179 54
11234 Irvington St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,230 (-9%) 4mo $266,000 $216 52
11095 Martin Rd 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,211 (-11%) 1mo $293,400 $242 49
27177 Shelbourne Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,537 (+14%) 2mo $250,000 $163 48
11138 Jim Pl 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,480 (+9%) 10mo $211,000 $143 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.2%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-46,001
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-54,684
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48093

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,765 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,098/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$-137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $200,710
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11809 McKinley Dr Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1212 $1,800 $1.49 17d 1 0.35mi
28250 Hoover Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $1,705 $1.87 2d 17 0.54mi
13250 De Mott Dr Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1386 $1,900 $1.37 43d 1 0.66mi
28801 Imperial Dr Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 887 $1,205 $1.36 16d 6 0.77mi
8625 Dale Center Line, MI 3.0 1.5 1179 $1,796 $1.52 43d 1 1.03mi
25146 Wagner Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 906 $1,900 $2.10 24d 1 1.06mi
11404 Warren Blvd Unit 102 Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 24d 1 1.11mi
11116 Racine Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1433 $2,000 $1.40 1d 1 1.26mi
29250 Longview Ave Apt 14 Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 1.33mi
8429 Towne Center Cir S #52 Warren, MI 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,775 $1.43 24d 1 1.38mi
8459 Towne Center Cir N #96 Warren, MI 2.0 2.5 1646 $2,000 $1.22 1d 1 1.43mi
8457 Towne Center Cir Unit 90 Warren, MI 2.0 2.0 1319 $1,800 $1.36 43d 1 1.43mi
29400 Towne Center Cir Warren, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1114 $2,099 $1.88 1d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!

  2. 2026-05-21
    status Pending 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!

  3. 2026-05-21
    listed $224,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!

  4. 2026-05-21
    listed $224,900 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,098 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,281 · $273/mo
Expected delta
+$183/yr (+$15/mo · 5.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,180
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$3,098
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,694
− Management
−$1,694
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$5,572
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,337
After-tax cash flow
$-306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren Woods Public Schools
NCES district ID
2635220
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,013
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7003
State rank
#336 of 540 in MI

Livability — Warren

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4491

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
114,937
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,014
Household income
$68,218
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
632.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 18% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 3% Arab 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.26%
Current HPI
203.6554
Rent YoY
▲ 2.52%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $224,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $224,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,098 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…