27474 Norma Dr · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Family room fireplace; Therapeutic whirlpool
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Humidifier
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (21.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Warren Woods Public Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #336 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $242,366
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27548 Bonnie Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,318 (-3%) | 1mo | $288,500 | $219 | 88 |
| 11820 Mckinley Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (-4%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $169 | 68 |
| 28540 Roan Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 13262 Carol Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (+5%) | 1mo | $262,900 | $185 | 60 |
| 27125 Gilbert Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-8%) | 6mo | $224,000 | $179 | 59 |
| 27264 Gilbert Dr Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+8%) | 10mo | $256,000 | $175 | 58 |
| 11311 Irvington Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+4%) | 4mo | $253,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 13342 De Mott Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (+5%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 11234 Irvington St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-9%) | 4mo | $266,000 | $216 | 52 |
| 11095 Martin Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,211 (-11%) | 1mo | $293,400 | $242 | 49 |
| 27177 Shelbourne Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,537 (+14%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $163 | 48 |
| 11138 Jim Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+9%) | 10mo | $211,000 | $143 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-46,001
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-54,684
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48093
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,765 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $-137
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11809 McKinley Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 28250 Hoover Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,705 | $1.87 | 2d | 17 | 0.54mi |
| 13250 De Mott Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1386 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 28801 Imperial Dr Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,205 | $1.36 | 16d | 6 | 0.77mi |
| 8625 Dale Center Line, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $1,796 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 25146 Wagner Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11404 Warren Blvd Unit 102 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 11116 Racine Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1433 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 29250 Longview Ave Apt 14 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8429 Towne Center Cir S #52 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,775 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8459 Towne Center Cir N #96 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1646 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8457 Towne Center Cir Unit 90 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 29400 Towne Center Cir Warren, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $2,099 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!
-
2026-05-21status Pending 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!
-
2026-05-21$224,900 Active
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!
-
2026-05-21$224,900 Active 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
53 years of living well in this home is ready to be turned over to a new owner! 2018 had a tear off roof, central air conditioning and a high efficiency furnace installed to keep the place in good shape while you remake the interior. There is a rare private bath in one bedroom; a family room addition opening to a covered patio; copper plumbing; vinyl windows; glass block windows; spacious kitchen with a dining area open to the family room; lav at the side door; basement rec room. .. a place to settle in and make your own!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,098 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,281 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,098
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,694
- − Management
- −$1,694
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$5,572
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $-306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren Woods Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635220
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,013
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7003
- State rank
- #336 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,014
- Household income
- $68,218
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 632.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 18% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 3% Arab 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.26%
- Current HPI
- 203.6554
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.52%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $224,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $224,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,098 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…