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781 Northampton St Duplex
C+ Composite 64.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$269,900

781 Northampton St · Buffalo, NY 14211
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1900 3,045 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Recently renovated double featuring 6 beds , 2 baths and a full finished attic. Most of the windows are new, 2 fairly new hot water tanks, 2 furnaces(less than 3yrs old) and a lot more updates can be witnessed at the physical showing. It's vacant and ready to move-in. It's being sold "as is", seller will do no repair due to purchaser's home /bank inspections. Compensation to be made only to ML members on sales price less any concessions or credits. Sewer rent is $31.45,taxes are deemed correct but not guaranteed.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • 2 unit property
  • Full basement

Tags

2 UNIT PROPERTYFULL BASEMENTNEW ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW WINDOWSPUBLIC TRANSPORTATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: Two-story property; Existing structure
  • Construction: Frame construction; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Built as resale (existing)
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 5 bedrooms; Second unit with 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms in the building total; Unit 1 has 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2 has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×4bd/1.5ba + 1×5bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $282/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,075/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $175k; list at $270k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $269,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,310
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
49 Urban St 0.15mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,849 (+4%) 9mo $115,000 $62 69
707 Riley St 0.18mi 6/2.0 1,994 (+12%) 10mo $130,000 $65 62
141 Moselle St 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,730 (-2%) 8mo $30,000 $17 51
65 Kingsley St 0.69mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,884 (+6%) 11mo $230,000 $122 43
325 Box Ave 0.62mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (-14%) 13mo $135,000 $89 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$55,150
Equity at exit
$107,174
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$163,341
Equity at exit
$154,886

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
16.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,075 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$646
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,361
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 77%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4 1.5 $1,343
1× unit 5 2 $1,732
Total (2 units) $3,075

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 23d 1 0.54mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 693-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $269,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,900
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,952
− Management
−$2,952
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$2,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$631
After-tax cash flow
$6,138/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2149.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-14 Sold (MLS) $175,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-31 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-24 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1998-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $439 · +137.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…