Duplex
781 Northampton St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Recently renovated double featuring 6 beds , 2 baths and a full finished attic. Most of the windows are new, 2 fairly new hot water tanks, 2 furnaces(less than 3yrs old) and a lot more updates can be witnessed at the physical showing. It's vacant and ready to move-in. It's being sold "as is", seller will do no repair due to purchaser's home /bank inspections. Compensation to be made only to ML members on sales price less any concessions or credits. Sewer rent is $31.45,taxes are deemed correct but not guaranteed.
Key facts
- New siding
- 2 unit property
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
- Home design: Two-story property; Existing structure
- Construction: Frame construction; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Built as resale (existing)
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One unit with 5 bedrooms; Second unit with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms in the building total; Unit 1 has 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2 has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Accessible doors; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×4bd/1.5ba + 1×5bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $282/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,075/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $270k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.96%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,310
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Urban St | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,849 (+4%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $62 | 69 |
| 707 Riley St | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 1,994 (+12%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $65 | 62 |
| 141 Moselle St | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,730 (-2%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $17 | 51 |
| 65 Kingsley St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (+6%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $122 | 43 |
| 325 Box Ave | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,524 (-14%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $89 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $55,150
- Equity at exit
- $107,174
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $163,341
- Equity at exit
- $154,886
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 16.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,075 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$646
- Net cashflow
- $564
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 4 | 1.5 | $1,343 |
| 1× unit | 5 | 2 | $1,732 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,075 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-08$269,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$4,048
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,952
- − Management
- −$2,952
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable income
- $2,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$631
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+2149.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-14 Sold (MLS) $175,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-08-31 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-08-27 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-08-24 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2018-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1998-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $439 · +137.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…