1304 W Gordon St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean and Well Maintained 4 BR home (one is walk-thru) with three on 2nd floor and a large finished attic. There are Two Full Baths, one on 1st floor and one on 2nd. Gas Utilities and Updated Electric. Public Water & Sewer. Low Maintenance Yard. All appliances remain. Directly across street from Daycare Center. A great bargain for either the owner-occupant or investor!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Move in ready
- Updated rowhome
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($983/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,844/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; list at $215k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.63%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,648
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 938 W Gordon St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+9%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $176 | 57 |
| 1235 W Livingston St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (-2%) | 6mo | $287,000 | $255 | 56 |
| 933 N 14th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,155 (+1%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $281 | 50 |
| 949 N 13th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,278 (+12%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $85 | 40 |
| 1009 13th | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,306 (+14%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $230 | 33 |
| 1017 N 14Th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,232 (+8%) | 21mo | $301,000 | $244 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-24,947
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $5,186
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18102
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $143 | +0% $82 | +5% $21 | +10% $-40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $9 | +0% $82 | +5% $155 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $190 | -0.5pp $137 | base $82 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1332 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,050 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1425 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 221 N 15th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1437 Webster St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 229 Peach St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1145 Linden St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,525 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 229 N West St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 953 | $1,700 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1621 W Turner St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,195 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 944 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 915 Tilghman St Apt 4 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 144 S 12th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1542 Walnut St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,850 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 511 N Lumber St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $2,200 | $2.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 832 Chestnut St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $2,100 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1208 W Whitehall St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,095 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1208 W Whitehall St Apt 8 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,095 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 635 N Lumber St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,750 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 209 N Eighth St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1337 Livingston St #3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 823 W Washington St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 347 N 7th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 622 W Chew St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 626 Oak St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 621 W Turner St Apt 14 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 856 N 8th St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 218 N 6th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 528 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,700 | $1.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 913 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,698 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 936 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 551 Sumner Ct Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 407 N 4th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 395 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 517 Elliger St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1235 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1223 N Albright Ave Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 748 S Hall St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $2,000 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1229 Pericles Pl Whitehall, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1574 | $2,750 | $1.75 | 3d | 7 | 1.31mi |
| 2518 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,995 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-15price $215,000
-
2026-03-22$220,000 Active
-
2017-09-19soldstatus $81,000
-
2017-09-14soldstatus $81,000 Sold 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Clean and Well Maintained 4 BR home (one is walk-thru) with three on 2nd floor and a large finished attic. There are Two Full Baths, one on 1st floor and one on 2nd. Gas Utilities and Updated Electric. Public Water & Sewer. Low Maintenance Yard. All appliances remain. Directly across street from Daycare Center. A great bargain for either the owner-occupant or investor!
-
2017-07-27status Pending 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Clean and Well Maintained 4 BR home (one is walk-thru) with three on 2nd floor and a large finished attic. There are Two Full Baths, one on 1st floor and one on 2nd. Gas Utilities and Updated Electric. Public Water & Sewer. Low Maintenance Yard. All appliances remain. Directly across street from Daycare Center. A great bargain for either the owner-occupant or investor!
-
2017-04-12price $84,900 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Clean and Well Maintained 4 BR home (one is walk-thru) with three on 2nd floor and a large finished attic. There are Two Full Baths, one on 1st floor and one on 2nd. Gas Utilities and Updated Electric. Public Water & Sewer. Low Maintenance Yard. All appliances remain. Directly across street from Daycare Center. A great bargain for either the owner-occupant or investor!
-
2017-03-02$89,900 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Clean and Well Maintained 4 BR home (one is walk-thru) with three on 2nd floor and a large finished attic. There are Two Full Baths, one on 1st floor and one on 2nd. Gas Utilities and Updated Electric. Public Water & Sewer. Low Maintenance Yard. All appliances remain. Directly across street from Daycare Center. A great bargain for either the owner-occupant or investor!
-
2016-11-19historical
-
2016-04-01price $98,999
-
2016-02-12$113,000 Active
-
2016-02-12historical
-
2015-11-18$113,550 Active
-
2013-07-23soldstatus $58,700
-
2013-04-15historical
-
2012-09-25historical
-
2012-08-27$75,000
-
2012-08-27$75,000
-
2005-09-26soldstatus $80,000
-
2005-09-12soldstatus $80,000
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2005-05-27$82,000
-
2004-12-10soldstatus $52,000
-
2004-12-03soldstatus $52,000
-
2004-12-03soldstatus $52,000
-
2003-12-06$56,900
-
1996-09-16soldstatus $61,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,644 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$753/yr (+$63/mo · 39.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$2,679
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$643
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,001
- Household income
- $43,085
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4313.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.01%
- Current HPI
- 404.834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+249.6% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $215,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $220,000 GLVRMLS
- 2017-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-14 Sold (MLS) $81,000 GLVRMLS
- 2017-07-27 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2017-04-12 Price Changed $84,900 GLVRMLS
- 2017-03-02 Listed $89,900 GLVRMLS
- 2016-11-19 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2016-04-01 Price Changed $98,999 GLVRMLS
- 2016-02-12 Listed $113,000 GLVRMLS
- 2016-02-12 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2015-11-18 Listed $113,550 GLVRMLS
- 2013-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $58,700 Public Records
- 2013-04-15 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2012-09-25 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2012-08-27 Listed $75,000 GLVRMLS
- 2012-08-27 Listed $75,000 GLVRMLS
- 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-12 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GLVRMLS
- 2005-05-27 Listed $82,000 GLVRMLS
- 2004-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-03 Sold (MLS) $52,000 GLVRMLS
- 2003-12-06 Listed $56,900 GLVRMLS
- 1996-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,890 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…