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402 2nd St
C+ Composite 64.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

402 2nd St · Summersville, MO 65571
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 91 Days on market
Built 2010 0.31 ac lot Est $102k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unique Country Home with Commercial OpportunityThis truly unique property offers a rare chance to own a space that seamlessly blends residential comfort with commercial potential. Originally built in 2010 as a restaurant, the building has since been converted into a 1-bedroom, 1-bath home, while still easily adaptable back into a restaurant or reimagined for nearly any business concept you can envision. Studio, cafe, boutique, office, short-term rental, or live-work setup, the flexibility here is unmatched. The open floor plan creates a welcoming, functional space with character you will not find anywhere else. A standout feature is the indoor pond water element in the living area, adding a

Key facts

  • Covered patios
  • 0.31 acre lot
  • 4 garage spots

Tags

INDOOR POND WATER ELEMENTRADIANT IN-FLOOR HEATINGWIRED-IN SECURITY SYSTEMCOVERED PATIOS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#724 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Summersville R-II (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #163 of 324 in MO (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Summersville Elem. (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 224 students, 53% FRL); Summersville High (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 234 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $77,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$102,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
496 Day Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 (+1) 917 (-8%) 16mo $93,500 $102 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$31,003
Equity at exit
$54,291
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$86,593
Equity at exit
$99,202

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65571

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$856 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-16
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,269
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$822
− Management
−$822
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$308
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$74
After-tax cash flow
$1,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Summersville R-II
NCES district ID
2929810
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,220
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5542
State rank
#163 of 324 in MO

Livability — Summersville

Score
55/100
State rank
#724
US rank
#23102

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Summersville, MO
Population (ZIP)
1,927

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,648 people
By 2030
23,981 · -2.7%
By 2040
22,840 · -7.3%
By 2050
21,832 · -11.4%
By 2075
19,481 · -21.0%
By 2100
16,634 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Polish 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.16%
Current HPI
213.3356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Pending SOMO
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $85,000 SOMO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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