224 Lee Road 206 · Smiths Station, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath home has been completely remodeled and is totally move-in ready. It has a great open floor plan with a new roof, new paint, new flooring, new HVAC, new appliances, new countertops, new light fixtures and much more. This is a great house on a nice . 45 acre lot in Lee County
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Ample counter space
- Large laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Built per public records; Fiber cement exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Mature trees; Outside city limits; Public paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Microwave hood fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first level
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Laundry room on the first level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (7.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in Smiths Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#129 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $210k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.27%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $119,232
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Lee Rd 2016 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+13%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 2381 Lee Road 201 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+13%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $72 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-14,578
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $12,067
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36874
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,953 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $560/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $366 | +0% $307 | +5% $248 | +10% $188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $230 | +0% $307 | +5% $384 | +10% $461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $360 | base $307 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 632-char remark
-
2026-06-07$210,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$301/yr (+$25/mo · 53.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$560
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$48
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County
- NCES district ID
- 0102070
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,786
- Composite
- 30.04/100
- National rank
- #6355
- State rank
- #40 of 129 in AL
Livability — Smiths Station
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #13134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,329
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,440 people
- By 2030
- 217,417 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 259,467 · +32.1%
- By 2050
- 301,557 · +53.5%
- By 2075
- 402,186 · +104.7%
- By 2100
- 474,503 · +141.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.13%
- Current HPI
- 218.2835
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+121.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $210,000 MAAR
- 2019-04-18 Sold (MLS) $94,900 EABOR
- 2019-04-18 Sold (MLS) $94,900 CBOR
- 2019-02-08 Listed $94,900 EABOR
- 2019-02-08 Listed $94,900 CBOR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $560 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…