413 Michael Dr · Robinhood, MS 39042

$219,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,210 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market

Built 1976 1.28 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Brandon offering almost 1,900 square feet of living space plus a huge bonus room. This move-in ready property features new flooring, fresh paint, stainless steel appliances, and numerous updates throughout. A nice-size storage room adds extra functionality and convenience. Situated on 1.3 acres, this is the only home on the street, offering exceptional privacy. Most of the acreage has been cleared while leaving plenty of trees for beauty, shade, and added seclusion. Enjoy peaceful country-style living with room to spread out and make it your own.

Key facts

• Storage room
• Renovated home
• Bonus room

Tags

• RENOVATED HOME
• BONUS ROOM
• STORAGE ROOM
• EXCEPTIONAL PRIVACY
• PEACEFUL COUNTRY-STYLE LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-space carport; Driveway parking
• Utilities: Public water; Waste treatment plant sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single-family house; One story; Living area reported by owner
• Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Slab foundation; Built (year per assessor)
• Exterior features: Architectural shingle roof; Large lot (about 1.28 acres)

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (9.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (20.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $174k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#182 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Mclaurin Elementary School (math 44% / reading 39%, grade F, #113 of 375 statewide, top 31%, 581 students, 100% FRL); Mclaurin Attendance Center (math 49% / reading 41%, grade D-, #34 of 197 statewide, top 17%, 504 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $173,711 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.52%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.76%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $127,050
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
365 Applewood Ln	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,285 (+6%)	12mo	$135,000	$105	70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-36,932
• Equity at exit: $32,654

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.84×
• Total profit: $-10,032
• Equity at exit: $18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39042

• Home prices YoY: -34.3%
• Rents YoY: 7.1%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,737 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,148
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
• Insurance: −$91
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$365
• Net cashflow: $-141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916

Max offer price $198,576

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $10	-5% $-65	+0% $-141	+5% $-217	+10% $-292
Rent	-10% $-278	-5% $-210	+0% $-141	+5% $-73	+10% $-4
Rate	-1.0pp $-31	-0.5pp $-85	base $-141	+0.5pp $-198	+1.0pp $-256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,750
• Closing costs: $6,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-01
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-13
   price $219,000
3. 2026-03-28
   price $239,000
4. 2026-03-23
   status Active
5. 2026-03-22
   listed $249,000 Active
6. 2026-03-22
   historical
7. 2026-02-12
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,845
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,267
• − Property taxes: −$3,285
• − Insurance: −$1,095
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,668
• − Management: −$1,668
• − Depreciation: −$6,371
• Taxable loss: −$5,508
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,322
• After-tax cash flow: $-372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rankin County School District
• NCES district ID: 2803830
• Math proficiency: 56% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $61,867
• Composite: 45.62/100
• National rank: #2587
• State rank: #6 of 130 in MS

Livability — Robinhood

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #182
• US rank: #16959

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Robinhood, MS
• County: Rankin County · 123,614 people
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 39,142
• Household income: $88,597
• Rent vs Own: 17.4% rent · 82.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 474.0

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 164,317 people
• By 2030: 171,013 · +4.1%
• By 2040: 182,723 · +11.2%
• By 2050: 192,376 · +17.1%
• By 2075: 209,535 · +27.5%
• By 2100: 209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -90.04%
• Current HPI: 172.5248
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.13%
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-12.0% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $219,000 MLSU
• 2026-03-28 Price Changed $239,000 MLSU
• 2026-03-23 Relisted — MLSU
• 2026-03-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
• 2026-03-22 Listed $249,000 MLSU
• 2026-02-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records