4701 Connecticut St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Appraised at 139k. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,450 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. Enjoy recessed lighting throughout, shining onto waterproof vinyl in the living room and kitchen. The primary suite features a private ensuite with matching marble shower and flooring. Upstairs awaits another cozy bedroom with an additional bonus room perfect for storing. Nestle within is a second bathroom that also showcases marble flooring. Situated on a corner lot, this property boasts a huge yard and an attached, oversized 1-car garage with extra storage. Move-in ready, perfect starter home, down-sizing, or opportunity for immediate cashflow!
Key facts
- 5,166 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1929
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Heated garage; Oversized parking; Off-street parking; On-street parking; 1.5 garage spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service
- Home design: Two-story home; Built in 1929
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Storage; Neighborhood view; Wood window frames; Smoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bonus room
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,431
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 28.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4688 Delaware St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,561 (+5%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $108 | 78 |
| 226 W 45th Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,456 (-2%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $82 | 72 |
| 4821-29 Vermont Pl | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,510 (+2%) | 3mo | $12,000 | $8 | 70 |
| 345 W 47th Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (-2%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 4421 Pennsylvania St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,592 (+7%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $97 | 60 |
| 5066 Pennsylvania St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+5%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 4742 Van Buren St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,520 (+2%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 4256 Washington St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+2%) | 6mo | $207,500 | $137 | 54 |
| 4471 Massachusetts St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,686 (+13%) | 1mo | $131,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 4327 Vermont Ct | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,567 (+5%) | 1mo | $123,600 | $79 | 53 |
| 1011 E 47th Pl | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,300 (-13%) | 4mo | $10,000 | $8 | 52 |
| 407 E 43rd Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,636 (+10%) | 0mo | $11,000 | $7 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,024
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $39,280
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46409
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $379 | -5% $341 | +0% $303 | +5% $265 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $250 | +0% $303 | +5% $356 | +10% $409 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $331 | base $303 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $245 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4430 Broadway Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5001 Carolina St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4767 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4208 Jackson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,411 | $1.48 | 0d | 7 | 1.12mi |
| 4018 Tyler St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3708 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5719 Van Buren St Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5850 Pennsylvania St Merrillville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,195 | $1.45 | 0d | 4 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$110,000 Active 660-char remark
-
2026-03-23historical
-
2026-02-23price $110,000
-
2026-02-19price $120,000
-
2026-02-05$135,000 Active
-
2025-09-16historical
-
2025-09-07price $145,000
-
2025-08-28$155,000 Active
-
2023-04-05soldstatus $24,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,292
- − Management
- −$1,292
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,000
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$480
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,184
- Household income
- $44,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 516.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.91%
- Current HPI
- 190.6724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+340.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $120,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $135,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-16 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $145,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Listed $155,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2019): $138 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…