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4701 Connecticut St
C Composite 56.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$110,000

4701 Connecticut St · Gary, IN 46409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1929 5,166 sqft lot $74/sqft · 29% above area Est $85k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Appraised at 139k. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,450 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. Enjoy recessed lighting throughout, shining onto waterproof vinyl in the living room and kitchen. The primary suite features a private ensuite with matching marble shower and flooring. Upstairs awaits another cozy bedroom with an additional bonus room perfect for storing. Nestle within is a second bathroom that also showcases marble flooring. Situated on a corner lot, this property boasts a huge yard and an attached, oversized 1-car garage with extra storage. Move-in ready, perfect starter home, down-sizing, or opportunity for immediate cashflow!

Key facts

  • 5,166 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1929

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Heated garage; Oversized parking; Off-street parking; On-street parking; 1.5 garage spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service
  • Home design: Two-story home; Built in 1929
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Storage; Neighborhood view; Wood window frames; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bonus room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,350 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.79%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,431
List price
$110,000
Delta
28.76%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4688 Delaware St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,561 (+5%) 0mo $168,000 $108 78
226 W 45th Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 1,456 (-2%) 6mo $119,000 $82 72
4821-29 Vermont Pl 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,510 (+2%) 3mo $12,000 $8 70
345 W 47th Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (-2%) 2mo $166,000 $114 67
4421 Pennsylvania St 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,592 (+7%) 9mo $155,000 $97 60
5066 Pennsylvania St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+5%) 5mo $170,000 $109 58
4742 Van Buren St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,520 (+2%) 8mo $175,000 $115 55
4256 Washington St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+2%) 6mo $207,500 $137 54
4471 Massachusetts St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,686 (+13%) 1mo $131,000 $78 53
4327 Vermont Ct 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,567 (+5%) 1mo $123,600 $79 53
1011 E 47th Pl 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,300 (-13%) 4mo $10,000 $8 52
407 E 43rd Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,636 (+10%) 0mo $11,000 $7 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$4,024
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$39,280
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,345 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $379 -5% $341 +0% $303 +5% $265 +10% $227
Rent -10% $196 -5% $250 +0% $303 +5% $356 +10% $409
Rate -1.0pp $358 -0.5pp $331 base $303 +0.5pp $274 +1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 16d 1 0.19mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 4d 1 0.32mi
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 0d 1 0.39mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 3d 1 0.48mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 0d 1 0.50mi
4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,350 $1.16 45d 1 0.59mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 25d 1 0.60mi
5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 7d 1 0.66mi
4767 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1664 $1,500 $0.90 3d 1 0.66mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 20d 1 0.67mi
4208 Jackson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 0.84mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 0d 1 1.09mi
1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 952 $1,411 $1.48 0d 7 1.12mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 0d 1 1.15mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 1.21mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 3d 1 1.43mi
5719 Van Buren St Merrillville, IN 3.0 2.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 23d 1 1.45mi
5850 Pennsylvania St Merrillville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 826 $1,195 $1.45 0d 4 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-05-15
    listed $110,000 Active 660-char remark
  11. 2026-03-23
    historical
  12. 2026-02-23
    price $110,000
  13. 2026-02-19
    price $120,000
  14. 2026-02-05
    listed $135,000 Active
  15. 2025-09-16
    historical
  16. 2025-09-07
    price $145,000
  17. 2025-08-28
    listed $155,000 Active
  18. 2023-04-05
    soldstatus $24,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,145
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,292
− Management
−$1,292
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$480
After-tax cash flow
$3,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $120,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $135,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-16 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $145,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $155,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,950 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2019): $138 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…