Fourplex
133 N Main St · Spencer, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent turn-key investment property. Stylishly renovated apartment Building with the perfect blend of history and modern comfort. This charming 4-unit apartment building could also be a nice place for an Owner Occupant to call home while the tenants pay the mortgage and taxes!. This 1860 gem has timeless character and has been lovingly renovated from top to bottom. Some of the improvements include: new kitchens, bathrooms, appliances, windows, doors, and decks. Set on almost 5 acres of sprawling land, This property would be a great place for quiet outside enjoyment, friendly gatherings and fun times! Set in a nice Viullage environment people can walk to the nearby village pizza shop or grocery store. Location is an easy commute to Ithaca, Elmira, and Owego. Back acreage of property is located in a 100-year floodplain. Listing agent contacted insurance company and was told that Flood Insurance would not be necessary to get a mortgage. Buyer to verify.
Key facts
- New kitchens
- New appliances
- New bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $359k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $284/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $359k).
- Recommended offer: $327k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#567 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Spencer-Van Etten Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #405 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($327k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.58%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $439,657
- List price
- $359,000
- Delta
- -18.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 N Main St | 0.00mi | 8/4.0 | 3,144 (0%) | 16mo | $345,000 | $110 | 87 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $268,021
- Equity at exit
- $323,416
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.29×
- Total profit
- $732,456
- Equity at exit
- $697,458
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14883
- Home prices YoY
- 12.9%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 26.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$962
- Net cashflow
- $1,137
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,580 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,145 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,145 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,145 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,145 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,580 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $359,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $359,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $359,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $359,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $359,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $359,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $359,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $359,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $359,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $359,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $359,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-02-27$359,000 Active 967-char remark
Show marketing remark (967 chars)
Excellent turn-key investment property. Stylishly renovated apartment Building with the perfect blend of history and modern comfort. This charming 4-unit apartment building could also be a nice place for an Owner Occupant to call home while the tenants pay the mortgage and taxes!. This 1860 gem has timeless character and has been lovingly renovated from top to bottom. Some of the improvements include: new kitchens, bathrooms, appliances, windows, doors, and decks. Set on almost 5 acres of sprawling land, This property would be a great place for quiet outside enjoyment, friendly gatherings and fun times! Set in a nice Viullage environment people can walk to the nearby village pizza shop or grocery store. Location is an easy commute to Ithaca, Elmira, and Owego. Back acreage of property is located in a 100-year floodplain. Listing agent contacted insurance company and was told that Flood Insurance would not be necessary to get a mortgage. Buyer to verify.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$5,385
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,397
- − Management
- −$4,397
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable income
- $8,433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,024
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This multi-family property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through landscaping and interior updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the property's aesthetic and appeal
- Both Interior updates to common areas — Improves the overall living experience for tenants and buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the property's aesthetic and appeal ↑
- Both Interior updates to common areas — Improves the overall living experience for tenants and buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spencer-Van Etten Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627750
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,456
- Composite
- 41.82/100
- National rank
- #3389
- State rank
- #405 of 590 in NY
Livability — Spencer
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #567
- US rank
- #10169
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spencer, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,525
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,155 people
- By 2030
- 42,801 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 37,960 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 33,071 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 24,144 · -46.5%
- By 2100
- 16,545 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.53%
- Current HPI
- 301.4985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $359,000 IBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…