53 West St · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$36,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HANDYMAN'S SPECIAL: Investment Opportunity in Auburn, NY! A fantastic opportunity awaits the savvy investor or dedicated flipper at 53 West St. in Auburn, New York. This two-bedroom, one-bath single-family home is a true handyman's special, offering significant potential to add value through complete rehabilitation. The property features a durable vinyl exterior and includes a detached one-car garage. While it requires substantial work, the project has already been jump-started with the installation of some new windows and some new drywall. The home is being sold strictly in as-is condition. Don't miss this chance to take over a rewarding project and transform this property into a profit
Key facts
- New drywall
- New windows
- 3,465 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.5% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $255 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 107.79%
- DSCR
- 5.80
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,894
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 West St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,242 (0%) | 2mo | $27,000 | $22 | 98 |
| 242 Seymour St | 0.29mi | 3/0.5 (+1) | 1,216 (-2%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $25 | 67 |
| 163 Cottage St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-1%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $110 | 65 |
| 50 N Division St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,358 (+9%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $88 | 64 |
| 9 Wallace Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,348 (+8%) | 4mo | $144,000 | $107 | 60 |
| 185 Perrine Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+4%) | 4mo | $92,500 | $71 | 58 |
| 76 Pulaski St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+2%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $118 | 52 |
| — | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+6%) | 18mo | $33,500 | $26 | 48 |
| 306 Seymour St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+15%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 16 Wright Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-13%) | 2mo | $124,700 | $115 | 44 |
| 37 Pulaski St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-10%) | 9mo | $112,000 | $100 | 39 |
| 2 Van Patten St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 10mo | $166,000 | $144 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.15×
- Total profit
- $53,184
- Equity at exit
- $5,502
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.87×
- Total profit
- $122,641
- Equity at exit
- $3,190
Cash invested: $10,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,558 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,126/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $928
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $949 | -5% $939 | +0% $928 | +5% $918 | +10% $907 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $805 | -5% $867 | +0% $928 | +5% $990 | +10% $1,051 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $947 | -0.5pp $937 | base $928 | +0.5pp $919 | +1.0pp $909 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,225
- Closing costs
- $1,107
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-29soldstatus $27,000
-
2025-11-23status Pending
-
2025-11-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-20$36,900 Active
-
2025-01-30historical
-
2024-10-23price $49,000
-
2024-07-08$49,900 Active
-
2022-01-28status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2022-01-28historical
-
2022-01-23price $38,500
-
2022-01-11price $38,900
-
2021-10-13$39,900 Active
-
2016-06-09historical
-
2016-05-24soldstatus $23,000
-
2016-03-29price $24,900
-
2016-03-24price $25,000
-
2016-02-26$24,900
-
2012-08-06$54,900
-
2008-07-03soldstatus $59,000
-
1994-02-04soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,126 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,126 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,067
- − Property taxes
- −$1,126
- − Insurance
- −$184
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,496
- − Management
- −$1,496
- − Depreciation
- −$1,073
- Taxable income
- $11,254
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,701
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 37,247 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1449.0
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-40.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-23 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $36,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-01-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-07-08 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2022-01-28 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2022-01-28 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2022-01-23 Price Changed $38,500 UNYREIS
- 2022-01-11 Price Changed $38,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-10-13 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-09 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2016-05-24 Sold (MLS) $23,000 CNYIS
- 2016-03-29 Price Changed $24,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-03-24 Price Changed $25,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-02-26 Listed $24,900 CNYIS
- 2012-08-06 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
- 2008-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1994-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,126 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…