5625 St Rt 41 · Bentonville, OH
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property will need a full rehab. Please rely on your own measurements.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot (about 0.31 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms (each approximately 15 x 15)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,025 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Manchester Local (rural): math 38% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #497 of 656 in OH (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 42 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $828 of equity ($346 loan paydown + $482 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.21%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $24,327
- Equity at exit
- $16,975
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $60,865
- Equity at exit
- $22,486
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45144
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $829/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $396 | -5% $382 | +0% $368 | +5% $354 | +10% $339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $289 | -5% $328 | +0% $368 | +5% $407 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $380 | base $368 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14$50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 70-char remark
-
2026-06-07$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$829
- − Insurance
- −$1,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$936
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester Local
- NCES district ID
- 3900537
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,374
- Composite
- 38.23/100
- National rank
- #4246
- State rank
- #497 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bentonville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1025
- US rank
- #20357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Adams · 32,832 people
- City population
- 71
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,256
- Household income
- $43,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.5
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,467 people
- By 2030
- 25,354 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 22,951 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 20,394 · -22.9%
- By 2075
- 14,824 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 9,909 · -62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.9% · R 82.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.9563
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+180.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $50,000 Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 1996-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $17,802 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $829 · +24.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…