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515 Wood Sorrel Ln
D+ Composite 49.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$269,900

515 Wood Sorrel Ln · Clayton, GA 30525
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 2002 $219/sqft · 22% below area Est $346k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2002

Tags

WOODED LOTTWO STORY COVERED DECKSSTARLINK INTERNET SYSTEMREMOTE ACCESS CAPABLE CCTVMINUTES TO DOWNTOWN CLAYTONSHORT DRIVE TO WINERIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#197 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rabun County (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #37 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rabun County Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #435 of 1,228 statewide, top 37%, 660 students, 58% FRL); Rabun County Middle School (math 47% / reading 46%, grade D+, #94 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 342 students, 59% FRL); Rabun County High School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade D+, #26 of 424 statewide, top 6%, 653 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Rabun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Rabun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $148k; list at $270k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,264 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$345,989
List price
$269,900
Delta
-21.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1340 Kingwood Dr 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,374 (+12%) 16mo $370,000 $269 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-4,970
Equity at exit
$87,638
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$33,436
Equity at exit
$113,059

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30525

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,943 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,055
Max offer price $254,182
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $64 -5% $-13 +0% $-89 +5% $-165 +10% $-242
Rent -10% $-242 -5% $-166 +0% $-89 +5% $-12 +10% $64
Rate -1.0pp $47 -0.5pp $-20 base $-89 +0.5pp $-159 +1.0pp $-230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-04-08
    historical
  8. 2025-12-17
    listed $269,900 New 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.

  9. 2025-12-17
    listed $269,900 New
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.

  10. 2020-06-19
    soldstatus $148,500
  11. 2020-06-19
    soldstatus $148,500
  12. 2019-09-12
    listed $145,000
  13. 2018-05-11
    soldstatus $112,500
  14. 2018-05-11
    soldstatus $112,600
  15. 2017-10-26
    listed $115,000
  16. 2016-05-10
    soldstatus $90,000
  17. 2010-08-16
    soldstatus $125,000
  18. 2007-06-22
    soldstatus $122,000
  19. 2004-04-01
    soldstatus $75,000
  20. 2002-01-01
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,150 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,483 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$1,333/yr (+$111/mo · 116.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,312
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$1,150
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,865
− Management
−$1,865
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$5,888
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,413
After-tax cash flow
$345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rabun County
NCES district ID
1304320
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,980
Composite
35.64/100
National rank
#4882
State rank
#37 of 174 in GA

Livability — Clayton

Score
66/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#12208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,265

Population outlook (Rabun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,227 people
By 2030
16,000 · -1.4%
By 2040
15,213 · -6.2%
By 2050
13,974 · -13.9%
By 2075
10,717 · -34.0%
By 2100
7,824 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rabun

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.3% · R 78.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.9pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+45.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.68%
Current HPI
310.5456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2898.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
  • 2020-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $148,500 Public Records
  • 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $148,500 GAMLS
  • 2019-09-12 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $112,600 Public Records
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $112,500 GAMLS
  • 2017-10-26 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2010-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2002-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,150 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…