515 Wood Sorrel Ln · Clayton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.
Key facts
- Wooded lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2002
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#197 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Rabun County (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #37 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rabun County Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #435 of 1,228 statewide, top 37%, 660 students, 58% FRL); Rabun County Middle School (math 47% / reading 46%, grade D+, #94 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 342 students, 59% FRL); Rabun County High School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade D+, #26 of 424 statewide, top 6%, 653 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Rabun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Rabun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $148k; list at $270k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.41%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $345,989
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- -21.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1340 Kingwood Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,374 (+12%) | 16mo | $370,000 | $269 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-4,970
- Equity at exit
- $87,638
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $33,436
- Equity at exit
- $113,059
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30525
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,943 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $-13 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-165 | +10% $-242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-242 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-12 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $47 | -0.5pp $-20 | base $-89 | +0.5pp $-159 | +1.0pp $-230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $269,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-08historical
-
2025-12-17$269,900 New 942-char remark
Show marketing remark (942 chars)
Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.
-
2025-12-17$269,900 New
Show marketing remark (942 chars)
Seize this opportunity to own a one of a kind mountain getaway. This property offers the opportunity to be used in a multitude of ways - full time residence, second home or the potential for rental to generate income. Privacy and seclusion abound. Mountain cabin nestled on a wooded lot on Screamer Mountain in Rabun County. Open floor plan, two-story covered decks offer relaxation and a perfect spot to entertain guests. Fully installed and operational Starlink internet system, as well as remote-access capable CCTV (hardwired into the DVR) installed outside. This property is minutes to Downtown Clayton, Highlands and the tourist hotspots of Lakes Burton, Rabun and Seed. The area offers a plethora of dining, shopping, outdoor activities and plenty of excellent wineries and entertainment venues within a short drive. Centrally located to all the captivating experiences Northeast Georgia has to offer. Schedule your private tour today.
-
2020-06-19soldstatus $148,500
-
2020-06-19soldstatus $148,500
-
2019-09-12$145,000
-
2018-05-11soldstatus $112,500
-
2018-05-11soldstatus $112,600
-
2017-10-26$115,000
-
2016-05-10soldstatus $90,000
-
2010-08-16soldstatus $125,000
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $122,000
-
2004-04-01soldstatus $75,000
-
2002-01-01soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,483 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,333/yr (+$111/mo · 116.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$1,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,865
- − Management
- −$1,865
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$5,888
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,413
- After-tax cash flow
- $345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rabun County
- NCES district ID
- 1304320
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,980
- Composite
- 35.64/100
- National rank
- #4882
- State rank
- #37 of 174 in GA
Livability — Clayton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #12208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,265
Population outlook (Rabun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,227 people
- By 2030
- 16,000 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 15,213 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 13,974 · -13.9%
- By 2075
- 10,717 · -34.0%
- By 2100
- 7,824 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rabun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.3% · R 78.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.9pp · 2024: -56.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.9 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+45.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Current HPI
- 310.5456
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+2898.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
- 2020-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $148,500 Public Records
- 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $148,500 GAMLS
- 2019-09-12 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
- 2018-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $112,600 Public Records
- 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $112,500 GAMLS
- 2017-10-26 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2016-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2010-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,150 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…