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2726 73rd Ave Duplex
B- Composite 69.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$520,000

2726 73rd Ave · Oakland, CA 94605
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,653 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1942 3,550 sqft lot Est $844k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Town house style units. Both 3 bedroom, 2 bath. Near shopping, transportation, schools and much more. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS 24HR NOTICE REQUIRED

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Washer dryer hookups
  • Gated entry

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING DUPLEXGATED ENTRYOFF STREET PARKINGWASHER DRYER HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $520k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $692/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $520k).
  • Recommended offer: $512k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,176/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 2086% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($512k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $520k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $512,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.41%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$843,654
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2726 73rd Ave 0.00mi 6/4.0 2,653 (0%) 1mo $490,000 $185 99
6423 Outlook Ave 0.55mi 7/3.5 (+1) 2,513 (-5%) 12mo $800,000 $318 49
7203 Holly St 0.74mi 6/4.0 2,336 (-12%) 18mo $780,000 $334 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-10,341
Equity at exit
$77,534
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$48,787
Equity at exit
$44,960

Cash invested: $145,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94605

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,176 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,727
Tax from tax record
$551 /mo · $6,615/yr
Insurance
$217
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,297
Net cashflow
$1,384

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,424
Max offer price $520,000
Occupancy floor 73%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$130,000
Closing costs
$15,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7625 Lockwood St Oakland, CA 5.0 3.0 2115 $1,199 $0.57 43d 1 0.60mi
3107 82nd Ave Oakland, CA 6.0 3.5 2028 $4,800 $2.37 1d 1 0.68mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-02
    listed $520,000 Active
  3. 2025-12-17
    historical
  4. 2025-09-15
    listed Active
  5. 2010-03-12
    soldstatus $250,000 Sold 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Town house style units. Both 3 bedroom, 2 bath. Near shopping, transportation, schools and much more. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS 24HR NOTICE REQUIRED

  6. 2009-09-23
    listed $279,000 New 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Town house style units. Both 3 bedroom, 2 bath. Near shopping, transportation, schools and much more. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS 24HR NOTICE REQUIRED

  7. 2008-09-21
    historical
  8. 2008-09-21
    listed
  9. 1997-02-28
    soldstatus $122,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,615 · $551/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,615 · $551/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$74,112
− Mortgage interest
−$29,128
− Property taxes
−$6,615
− Insurance
−$2,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,929
− Management
−$5,929
− Depreciation
−$15,127
Taxable income
$8,783
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,108
After-tax cash flow
$14,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,103
Household income
$106,068
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
2086.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -793.09%
Current HPI
294.5467
Rent YoY
▲ 0.65%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+326.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $520,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-09-15 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2010-03-12 Sold (MLS) $250,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2009-09-23 Listed $279,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2008-09-21 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2008-09-21 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 1997-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,615 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…