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887 1st Ave S
B Composite 70.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

887 1st Ave S · Okanogan, WA 98840
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 773 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1910 5,227 sqft lot $115/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The home is offered for sale "As-Is. " Two bedroom, one bathroom home located in Okanogan, WA. Clean and freshly painted throughout interior. New flooring. Needs some upgrades. Would be a great rental investment or starter home. This home is located in town, with the convenience of nearby highway access, shopping stores and restaurants! Owner Financing available for buyer with excellent credit.

Key facts

  • Shopping stores
  • New flooring
  • Freshly painted

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTEDNEW FLOORINGNEARBY HIGHWAY ACCESSSHOPPING STORESRESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#267 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Okanogan School District (town): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #173 of 291 in WA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 234 units permitted in Okanogan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okanogan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $89k implies a 424% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.55%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,706
List price
$89,000
Delta
-50.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
887 1st Ave S 0.00mi 2/1.0 773 (0%) 1mo $85,000 $110 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-4,885
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$8,744
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98840

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,451 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $842/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,266
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $171 +0% $146 +5% $120 +10% $95
Rent -10% $31 -5% $88 +0% $146 +5% $203 +10% $260
Rate -1.0pp $190 -0.5pp $168 base $146 +0.5pp $123 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-06
    listed $89,000 Active
  3. 1999-11-12
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$842 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$872 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$31/yr (+$3/mo · 3.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 79% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,410
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$842
− Insurance
−$5,564
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,393
− Management
−$1,393
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$155
After-tax cash flow
$1,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okanogan School District
NCES district ID
5306150
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$40,402
Composite
41.89/100
National rank
#7127
State rank
#173 of 291 in WA

Livability — Okanogan

Score
68/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#9301

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Okanogan, WA
Population (ZIP)
5,084

Population outlook (Okanogan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,288 people
By 2030
39,265 · -2.5%
By 2040
37,110 · -7.9%
By 2050
35,389 · -12.2%
By 2075
31,609 · -21.5%
By 2100
26,647 · -33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Italian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okanogan

2024 margin
R (+15.0) · D 41.1% · R 56.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -15.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.0 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+21.3 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.44%
Current HPI
228.1084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+423.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $89,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $842 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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