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1210 Blehl Aly
C Composite 56.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1210 Blehl Aly · Williamsport, PA 17701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1901 3,049 sqft lot Est $213k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Roof, New Heating System, some fresh paint and some new carpet. If you are looking to downsize with privacy, then take a look at this single family home. Fenced in patio, large detached shed, and off street parking. Please call Frank Schemery at 570-323-5019 for your private showings.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Private setting
  • Main-floor laundry

Tags

MAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRYPRIVATE SETTINGSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No formal garage (gravel parking with alley access)
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built area approximately 1,648 above grade
  • Exterior features: Patio; Level lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in bar; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $150k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,220 (1.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.50%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,408
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1629 Marlin Pkwy 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,215 (-3%) 8mo $189,900 $156 70
1625 Marlin Pkwy 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+8%) 7mo $170,000 $126 61
1316 Mansel Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,143 (-8%) 12mo $219,500 $192 59
1617 Marlin Pkwy 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,148 (-8%) 10mo $210,000 $183 55
1621 Warren Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,165 (-7%) 19mo $199,999 $172 54
1320 Mansel Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,344 (+8%) 22mo $230,000 $171 52
417 Pearson Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,360 (+9%) 3mo $215,000 $158 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-14,322
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,745
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17701

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,472 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,305/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,317
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1539 Northway Rd Unit NW455 Williamsport, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 0.76mi
300 Valley Heights Dr Williamsport, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1195 $3,476 $2.91 14d 1 0.92mi
215 E 3rd St Unit 3D Williamsport, PA 2.0 1.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 43d 1 1.04mi
475 E 5th Ave Unit 6 South Williamsport, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,180 $1.31 43d 1 1.23mi
480 E 5th Ave Unit 4 South Williamsport, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 556-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,305 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,337 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$32/yr (+$3/mo · 1.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,666
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,305
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,413
− Management
−$1,413
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$233
After-tax cash flow
$1,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsport Area SD
NCES district ID
4226460
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,637
Composite
34.63/100
National rank
#5150
State rank
#349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

Score
74/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, PA
County
Lycoming County · 43,104 people
City population
43,104
Metro
Williamsport, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,104
Household income
$53,237
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.61%
Current HPI
216.7203
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Williamsport, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $149,900 WBVAR
  • 2018-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $65,400 Public Records
  • 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2018-08-28 Listed $64,400 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,305 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…