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2035 Bangor Hollow Rd
B- Composite 67.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

2035 Bangor Hollow Rd · Garden City, AL 35079
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1973 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A 2BR 1BA mobile home with a covered front and back porch. The property also has a detached garage. The back porch overlooks a small creek and woods. A nice and private spot.

Key facts

  • Private spot
  • Detached garage
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT AND BACK PORCHDETACHED GARAGEOVERLOOKS A SMALL CREEKPRIVATE SPOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#476 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
21.78%
Cash-on-cash
55.29%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$28,811
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$72,785
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35079

Home prices YoY
-12.4%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,254 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$579

Break-even live

Break-even rent $522
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    A 2BR 1BA mobile home with a covered front and back porch. The property also has a detached garage. The back porch overlooks a small creek and woods. A nice and private spot.

  2. 2026-03-05
    historical Active Under Contract 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    A 2BR 1BA mobile home with a covered front and back porch. The property also has a detached garage. The back porch overlooks a small creek and woods. A nice and private spot.

  3. 2026-03-03
    listed $50,000 Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    A 2BR 1BA mobile home with a covered front and back porch. The property also has a detached garage. The back porch overlooks a small creek and woods. A nice and private spot.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,048
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$1,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,587
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,581
After-tax cash flow
$5,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blount County
NCES district ID
0100420
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,961
Composite
27.79/100
National rank
#6891
State rank
#54 of 129 in AL

Livability — Garden City

Score
53/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#24315

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
127
Population (ZIP)
9,388

Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,983 people
By 2030
57,405 · -1.0%
By 2040
55,602 · -4.1%
By 2050
53,393 · -7.9%
By 2075
48,248 · -16.8%
By 2100
44,190 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blount

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.00%
Current HPI
255.3136
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Contingent SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $50,000 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+15.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $50 · +24.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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