Dogwood Plan · Fort Worth, TX 76119

$62,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 820 sqft · Manufactured · 314 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

Key facts

• Listed 313 days

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
• Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
• Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 51.37%
• DSCR: 3.29
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 45.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.90×
• Total profit: $33,443
• Equity at exit: $9,379

10-year hold

• IRR: 50.3%
• Equity multiple: 5.20×
• Total profit: $74,010
• Equity at exit: $5,438

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76119

• Home prices YoY: -6.4%
• Rents YoY: -1.6%
• Active inventory: 186
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,505 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$79 /mo · $944/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$316
• Net cashflow: $754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550

Max offer price $62,900

Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $797	-5% $776	+0% $754	+5% $732	+10% $711
Rent	-10% $635	-5% $695	+0% $754	+5% $813	+10% $873
Rate	-1.0pp $786	-0.5pp $770	base $754	+0.5pp $738	+1.0pp $721

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,725
• Closing costs: $1,887
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 16 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3865 Stalcup Rd Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1090	$1,814	$1.66	6d	1	0.21mi
3848 Waldorf St Fort Worth, TX	2.0	1.0	734	$1,195	$1.63	5d	1	0.22mi
5913 Montague St Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1090	$1,549	$1.42	14d	1	0.35mi
5908 Oakdale Dr Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1090	$1,475	$1.35	6d	1	0.37mi
5910 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	872	$1,445	$1.66	6d	1	0.42mi
5912 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	872	$1,499	$1.72	44d	1	0.45mi
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1124	$1,650	$1.47	13d	1	0.50mi
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1124	$1,650	$1.47	25d	1	0.50mi
5055 Virgil St Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1089	$1,650	$1.52	25d	1	0.77mi
3201 Mount Horum Way Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1045	$1,699	$1.63	6d	1	0.79mi
5336 Cottey St Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1045	$1,699	$1.63	44d	1	0.88mi
5011 Sunshine Dr Fort Worth, TX	2.0	1.0	813	$1,515	$1.86	25d	1	1.28mi
4508 Wiman Dr Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1045	$1,580	$1.51	6d	1	1.34mi
4336 Jana Dr Fort Worth, TX	3.0	1.0	1070	$1,650	$1.54	4d	1	1.35mi
2128 R. W. Bivens Ln Fort Worth, TX	3.0	2.0	1045	$1,615	$1.55	14d	1	1.40mi
5605 Topwater Trl Fort Worth, TX	2.0	2.0	845	$2,200	$2.60	44d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $62,900 Active 314 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $62,900 Active 313 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $62,900 Active 312 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $62,900 Active 311 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $62,900 Active 309 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $62,900 Active 305 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $62,900 Active 304 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $62,900 Active 303 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $62,900 Active 300 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,900 Active 299 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,900 Active 298 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,900 Active 297 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,900 Active 296 DOM
14. 2026-04-08
    price $62,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

15. 2026-03-28
    price $63,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

16. 2026-01-11
    price $58,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

17. 2025-12-06
    price $51,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

18. 2025-09-09
    price $48,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

19. 2025-08-09
    price $42,900 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

20. 2025-08-09
    listed $44,900 Active 520-char remark

    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    BUILT BY: TRU The Origin Series / Dogwood TRT14602D built by TRU features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 790 sq. ft. of practical living space. The open layout connects the living room and kitchen, creating a functional flow for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, while the second bedroom offers easy access to its own bathroom. Compact yet efficient, The Dogwood TRT14602D is designed to maximize comfort and convenience, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a well-balanced home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,056
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,523
• − Property taxes: −$944
• − Insurance: −$314
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,444
• − Management: −$1,444
• − Depreciation: −$1,830
• Taxable income: $8,556
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,053
• After-tax cash flow: $6,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

The home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale value are painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls, updating the flooring in the living areas, upgrading the kitchen appliances, and updating the bathroom fixtures.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
• Resale Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers.
• Resale Updating the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and attractive to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
• Resale Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers. ↑
• Resale Updating the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and attractive to potential buyers. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Worth ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819700
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $42,109
• Composite: 19.61/100
• National rank: #8753
• State rank: #742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #49
• US rank: #1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Fort Worth, TX
• County: Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
• City population: 911,619
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,974
• Household income: $51,267
• Rent vs Own: 45.3% rent · 54.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 2221.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,380,417 people
• By 2030: 2,578,900 · +8.3%
• By 2040: 2,974,995 · +25.0%
• By 2050: 3,350,489 · +40.8%
• By 2075: 4,216,909 · +77.2%
• By 2100: 4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 36% Two or more races 26% White 8% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 44%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 54% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -23.04%
• Current HPI: 336.7941
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.61%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+40.1% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $62,900 Zillow
• 2026-03-28 Price Changed $63,900 Zillow
• 2026-01-11 Price Changed $58,900 Zillow
• 2025-12-06 Price Changed $51,900 Zillow
• 2025-09-09 Price Changed $48,900 Zillow
• 2025-08-09 Price Changed $42,900 Zillow
• 2025-08-09 Listed $44,900 Zillow