721 NE 26th St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the heart of Ocala, this property offers great potential for a homeowner or investor alike. While the home may need a little TLC to truly shine, it is priced accordingly and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch. Roof and HVAC are currently functional but may need replacement in the future
Key facts
- Corner unit
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1985
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $169k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.38%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,800
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -14.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 NE 27th St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $163 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-16,256
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-12,421
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34470
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,651 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712 NE 26th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $1,590 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 708 NE 26th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2205 NE 14th Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,345 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3219 NE 16th Ct Unit 3219 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1643 NE 16th Ave Unit B Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1635 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2122 NE 28th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2855 NE 20th Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1838 NE 17th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4475 NW 1st Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1797 | $2,075 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4451 NW 2nd Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $1,649 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-05$169,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the heart of Ocala, this property offers great potential for a homeowner or investor alike. While the home may need a little TLC to truly shine, it is priced accordingly and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch. Roof and HVAC are currently functional but may need replacement in the future
-
2020-09-10soldstatus $89,900
-
2020-09-09soldstatus $89,900 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Cozy three bedroom two bath featuring an open living room with fireplace, also features an enclosed patio and a storage shed, located on a corner lot.
-
2020-06-25$89,900 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Cozy three bedroom two bath featuring an open living room with fireplace, also features an enclosed patio and a storage shed, located on a corner lot.
-
2020-02-11historical
-
2019-12-20$89,714
-
2019-11-17historical
-
2019-05-25$89,714
-
2017-11-07soldstatus $55,000
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2017-10-30soldstatus $55,000
-
2017-04-19$57,000
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2013-11-27soldstatus $24,901
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2013-08-07$24,900
-
2011-08-26historical
-
2010-08-26$39,900
-
1997-02-01soldstatus $45,000
-
1994-12-01soldstatus $34,560
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$248/yr (+$21/mo · 21.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,154
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,585
- − Management
- −$1,585
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $260
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$62
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,443
- Household income
- $52,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 771.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.74%
- Current HPI
- 242.686
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.07%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+389.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2020-09-09 Sold (MLS) $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-25 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-20 Listed $89,714 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-17 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-25 Listed $89,714 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-19 Listed $57,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-27 Sold (MLS) $24,901 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-07 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-26 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,560 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,154 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…