200 2nd Ave W · Lignite, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Natural insulation
- Energy efficiency
- Spacious lots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Additional off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Exterior-entry basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#121 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Burke Central 36 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #96 of 169 in ND (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Burke County population projected at +80% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 506 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 506 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.18%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $27,161
- Equity at exit
- $31,250
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $70,410
- Equity at exit
- $48,160
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58752
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $343 | -5% $319 | +0% $295 | +5% $271 | +10% $247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $217 | -5% $256 | +0% $295 | +5% $334 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $312 | base $295 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,500 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,500 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,500 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,500 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,500 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,500 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-01-27status Active
-
2026-01-16status Pending
-
2025-07-31price $69,500
-
2025-01-20$74,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$942
- − Management
- −$942
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $2,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burke Central 36
- NCES district ID
- 3803590
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,249
- Composite
- 37.33/100
- National rank
- #8941
- State rank
- #96 of 169 in ND
Livability — Lignite
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #10172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lignite, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 347
Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,017 people
- By 2030
- 3,439 · +14.0%
- By 2040
- 4,388 · +45.4%
- By 2050
- 5,429 · +79.9%
- By 2075
- 8,215 · +172.3%
- By 2100
- 10,184 · +237.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 8% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 20% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Burke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.1) · D 12.4% · R 86.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -74.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.1 2020: R+74.2 2016: R+73.8 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — GNMLS
- 2026-01-16 Pending — GNMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $69,500 GNMLS
- 2025-01-20 Listed $74,500 GNMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…