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200 2nd Ave W
B Composite 73.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,500

200 2nd Ave W · Lignite, ND 58752
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 506 Days on market
Built 1992 0.32 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Natural insulation
  • Energy efficiency
  • Spacious lots

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENCYOPEN KITCHENSPACIOUS LOTSNATURAL INSULATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Additional off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Exterior-entry basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#121 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Burke Central 36 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #96 of 169 in ND (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Burke County population projected at +80% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 506 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $61,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 506 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.18%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$27,161
Equity at exit
$31,250
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$70,410
Equity at exit
$48,160

Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58752

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$981 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$364
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $608
Max offer price $69,500
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $343 -5% $319 +0% $295 +5% $271 +10% $247
Rent -10% $217 -5% $256 +0% $295 +5% $334 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $312 base $295 +0.5pp $277 +1.0pp $258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,375
Closing costs
$2,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,500 Active 506 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,500 Active 505 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,500 Active 503 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,500 Active 502 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,500 Active 501 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,500 Active 500 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,500 Active 498 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,500 Active 497 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,500 Active 494 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,500 Active 493 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,500 Active 492 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,500 Active 490 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,500 Active 488 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,500 Active 487 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,500 Active 486 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,500 Active 485 DOM
  17. 2026-01-27
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-16
    status Pending
  19. 2025-07-31
    price $69,500
  20. 2025-01-20
    listed $74,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,773
− Mortgage interest
−$3,893
− Property taxes
−$1,042
− Insurance
−$348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$942
− Management
−$942
− Depreciation
−$2,022
Taxable income
$2,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$620
After-tax cash flow
$2,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke Central 36
NCES district ID
3803590
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 29.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$54,249
Composite
37.33/100
National rank
#8941
State rank
#96 of 169 in ND

Livability — Lignite

Score
67/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#10172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lignite, ND
Population (ZIP)
347

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,017 people
By 2030
3,439 · +14.0%
By 2040
4,388 · +45.4%
By 2050
5,429 · +79.9%
By 2075
8,215 · +172.3%
By 2100
10,184 · +237.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Asian 8% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 20% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.1) · D 12.4% · R 86.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-36.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -74.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.1 2020: R+74.2 2016: R+73.8 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+37.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Relisted GNMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Pending GNMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $69,500 GNMLS
  • 2025-01-20 Listed $74,500 GNMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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