5025 Salem Tpke NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home has been remodeled down to the studs. Great kitchen w/ adjacent laundry area. New microwave. Huge living/great rm has pergo flooring. Replacement windows thru-out. Truly hard to find a nicer home in this price range. Sits well back from the street on a quiet access road. This is a wonderful opportunity for the first time homebuyer to get a 'move in ready' home. Large master bedroom
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Quiet street
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions listed
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1930
- Construction: Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump electric heating; Heat pump electric cooling
- Interior features: Fiberglass doors; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (12.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Westside Elementary (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,093 of 1,108 statewide, top 99%, 640 students, 98% FRL); Woodrow Wilson Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 642 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $148k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.10%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,726
- List price
- $147,950
- Delta
- -19.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4924 Morwanda St NW | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 811 (-3%) | 12mo | $176,000 | $217 | 74 |
| 5011 Morwanda St NW | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+1%) | 19mo | $133,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 809 Ward St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-7%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $244 | 71 |
| 724 Peck St NW | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 927 (+11%) | 5mo | $199,900 | $216 | 66 |
| 818 Peck St NW | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+1%) | 22mo | $148,000 | $175 | 65 |
| 4701 Oak Rd NW | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 895 (+7%) | 16mo | $238,950 | $267 | 54 |
| 940 Caldwell St NW | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 953 (+14%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $231 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-27,669
- Equity at exit
- $22,060
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,338
- Equity at exit
- $12,792
Cash invested: $41,426 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24017
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$776
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,804/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $-107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-65 | +0% $-107 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-151 | +0% $-107 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-19 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-32 | -0.5pp $-69 | base $-107 | +0.5pp $-145 | +1.0pp $-184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,988
- Closing costs
- $4,438
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 829 Westside Blvd NW Apt 2 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 817 Westside Blvd NW Unit A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $716 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 813 Westside Blvd NW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $716 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 809 Westside Blvd NW Apt C Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $696 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 900 Camelot Dr Salem, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 905 | $1,532 | $1.69 | 15d | 10 | 0.78mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #12 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #6 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4112 Virginia Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4310 Tyree Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,650 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1741 Pexton Ave Salem, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,452 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-15$147,950 Active 495-char remark
-
2007-03-15soldstatus $78,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Home has been remodeled down to the studs. Great kitchen w/ adjacent laundry area. New microwave. Huge living/great rm has pergo flooring. Replacement windows thru-out. Truly hard to find a nicer home in this price range. Sits well back from the street on a quiet access road. This is a wonderful opportunity for the first time homebuyer to get a 'move in ready' home. Large master bedroom
-
2007-03-13soldstatus $78,000
-
2007-03-13soldstatus $78,000
-
2007-01-31$79,950 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Home has been remodeled down to the studs. Great kitchen w/ adjacent laundry area. New microwave. Huge living/great rm has pergo flooring. Replacement windows thru-out. Truly hard to find a nicer home in this price range. Sits well back from the street on a quiet access road. This is a wonderful opportunity for the first time homebuyer to get a 'move in ready' home. Large master bedroom
-
2006-11-30historical
-
2006-08-30$79,950
-
2002-06-27soldstatus $18,000
-
2002-06-24soldstatus $18,000
-
2002-06-21$18,000
-
1989-03-10soldstatus $16,000
-
1983-04-19soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,288
- − Property taxes
- −$1,804
- − Insurance
- −$740
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$4,304
- Taxable loss
- −$3,896
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$935
- After-tax cash flow
- $-349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,678
- Household income
- $47,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.29%
- Current HPI
- 198.5991
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+886.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-05-15 Listed $147,950 MLSRV
- 2007-03-15 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MLSRV
- 2007-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-31 Listed $79,950 MLSRV
- 2006-11-30 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2006-08-30 Listed $79,950 MLSRV
- 2002-06-27 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLSRV
- 2002-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-21 Listed $18,000 MLSRV
- 1989-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1983-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,804 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…