201 Diagonal St · Savanna, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in the scenic hills of downtown Savanna! This charming home offers plenty of potential for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Ideal as a rental property, second home, or renovation project. Bring your vision and make it your own!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1880
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported by landlord/tenant/seller
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space (unassigned, off-site/other)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story ranch-style layout; Property more than 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Fee simple ownership
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 135; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — approximately 10 x 12
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Primary bedroom on main level — approximately 10 x 12; Second bedroom on main level — approximately 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($778 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.4% in Savanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#684 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- West Carroll CUSD 314 (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #498 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.93%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,424
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -0.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Cook | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+3%) | 22mo | $18,000 | $20 | 73 |
| 212 Quincy St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (+8%) | 7mo | $68,000 | $72 | 72 |
| 212 Quincy St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (+8%) | 7mo | $68,000 | $72 | 72 |
| 918 3rd St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (+6%) | 21mo | $65,500 | $71 | 57 |
| 101 Van St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 994 (+14%) | 22mo | $46,000 | $46 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $36
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $13,672
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61074
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-26$65,000 Active 257-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$747
- − Management
- −$747
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$243
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carroll CUSD 314
- NCES district ID
- 1700310
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,090
- Composite
- 13.91/100
- National rank
- #9483
- State rank
- #498 of 620 in IL
Livability — Savanna
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #684
- US rank
- #13971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savanna, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,009
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,010 people
- By 2030
- 12,150 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 10,462 · -19.6%
- By 2050
- 9,078 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 6,704 · -48.5%
- By 2100
- 5,004 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.2% · R 64.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -31.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+29.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: D+1.4 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.68%
- Current HPI
- 144.9327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+31.2%/yrLatest (2017): $84 · +72.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…