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3000 S Cherry St
B Composite 73.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

3000 S Cherry St · Pine Bluff, AR 71603
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1919 9,147 sqft lot $39/sqft · 32% below area Est $111k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Short Sale Opportunity! Historic home with timeless character and strong potential. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to lienholder approval. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and build equity. Don’t miss this chance to bring new life to a classic property. Agents please see confidential remarks.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1919

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.40%
Cash-on-cash
25.37%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,049
List price
$75,000
Delta
-32.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3100 S Mulberry St 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,080 (+8%) 6mo $75,000 $36 75
810 Hudson 0.19mi 3/2.0 2,038 (+6%) 11mo $133,500 $66 72
820 W 34th Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,037 (+6%) 7mo $137,000 $67 69
1604 W 31st 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-10%) 4mo $60,000 $35 65
3516 S Cherry St 0.38mi 3/2.0 2,064 (+7%) 12mo $50,000 $24 60
1403 Arrowhead 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,853 (-4%) 14mo $174,500 $94 57
1303 Arrowhead Pl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,846 (-4%) 14mo $115,000 $62 57
505 W 33rd Ave 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,185 (+14%) 4mo $170,000 $78 51
604 W 37th Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,079 (+8%) 7mo $139,000 $67 48
3520 Cherry 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,172 (+13%) 12mo $25,000 $12 45
900 W 37th 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,643 (-14%) 4mo $50,000 $30 44
2205 W 34th Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,088 (+9%) 11mo $155,000 $74 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$16,132
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$50,505
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71603

Home prices YoY
-26.0%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $645
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-04-25
    price $75,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Short Sale Opportunity! Historic home with timeless character and strong potential. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to lienholder approval. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and build equity. Don’t miss this chance to bring new life to a classic property. Agents please see confidential remarks.

  3. 2026-03-25
    price $85,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Short Sale Opportunity! Historic home with timeless character and strong potential. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to lienholder approval. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and build equity. Don’t miss this chance to bring new life to a classic property. Agents please see confidential remarks.

  4. 2026-03-10
    price $95,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Short Sale Opportunity! Historic home with timeless character and strong potential. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to lienholder approval. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and build equity. Don’t miss this chance to bring new life to a classic property. Agents please see confidential remarks.

  5. 2026-03-02
    listed $100,000 New Listing 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Short Sale Opportunity! Historic home with timeless character and strong potential. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to lienholder approval. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and build equity. Don’t miss this chance to bring new life to a classic property. Agents please see confidential remarks.

  6. 2025-12-17
    historical
  7. 2025-11-19
    price $134,900
  8. 2025-09-21
    price $135,000
  9. 2025-08-19
    price $140,000
  10. 2025-07-24
    price $150,000
  11. 2025-06-27
    listed $155,000 New Listing
  12. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $132,000
  13. 2022-10-26
    historical
  14. 2022-09-27
    status Back on Market
  15. 2022-09-22
    historical Take Backups
  16. 2022-09-08
    price $125,000
  17. 2022-08-29
    status Back on Market
  18. 2022-08-13
    historical Take Backups
  19. 2022-07-25
    listed $129,000 New Listing
  20. 2022-06-16
    historical
  21. 2022-06-05
    price $159,000
  22. 2022-05-26
    listed $169,000 New Listing
  23. 2022-03-25
    soldstatus $55,000 Sold
  24. 2022-03-18
    soldstatus $55,000
  25. 2022-02-05
    historical Take Backups
  26. 2021-09-23
    status Back on Market
  27. 2021-09-08
    historical Take Backups
  28. 2021-08-23
    listed $50,000 New Listing
  29. 2010-06-02
    soldstatus $55,000
  30. 2007-03-21
    soldstatus $62,000
  31. 2006-04-18
    soldstatus $25,000
  32. 1989-02-21
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,478
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,016
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,053
After-tax cash flow
$4,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pine Bluff School District
NCES district ID
0500026
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$32,374
Composite
5.86/100
National rank
#10014
State rank
#236 of 238 in AR

Livability — Pine Bluff

Score
50/100
State rank
#483
US rank
#25645

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Bluff, AR
County
Jefferson County · 29,578 people
City population
29,578
Metro
Pine Bluff, AR
Population (ZIP)
29,578
Household income
$53,130
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
657.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,110 people
By 2030
58,519 · -7.3%
By 2040
49,740 · -21.2%
By 2050
42,331 · -32.9%
By 2075
29,591 · -53.1%
By 2100
21,047 · -66.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.43%
Current HPI
206.5994
Rent YoY
Metro
Pine Bluff, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $75,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $85,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $95,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $100,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $134,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Price Changed $135,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $140,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $150,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $155,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-26 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2022-09-27 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-09-22 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-09-08 Price Changed $125,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-08-29 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-08-13 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $129,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-06-16 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2022-06-05 Price Changed $159,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-05-26 Listed $169,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-03-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-05 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2021-09-23 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2021-09-08 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2021-08-23 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
  • 2010-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1989-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+33.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,016 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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