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Henley Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,999

Henley Plan · San Antonio, TX 78109
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 661 sqft · SingleFamily · 591 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

Key facts

  • Listed 591 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $129,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $129,596.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($252/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1152 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $896 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 591 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $114,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 591 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.69%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,596
List price
$129,999
Delta
0.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5030 Daisy Blossom 0.13mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 13mo $137,999 $209 83
5010 Daisy Blossom 0.13mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 14mo $127,999 $194 83
4978 Daisy Blossom 0.12mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 14mo $129,709 $196 83
5023 Daisy Blossom 0.10mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 16mo $113,999 $172 82
5011 Daisy Blossom 0.10mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 16mo $106,739 $161 82
4962 Daisy Blossom 0.12mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 16mo $125,139 $189 81

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-23,046
Equity at exit
$19,323
10-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-31,416
Equity at exit
$11,205

Cash invested: $36,287 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78109

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1152
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$680
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,944/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,134
Max offer price $129,596
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,399
Closing costs
$3,888
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12414 San Crispin Converse, TX 1.0 1.0 675 $970 $1.44 44d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,999 Active 591 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,999 Active 590 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,999 Active 589 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,999 Active 588 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,999 Active 586 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,999 Active 582 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,999 Active 581 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,999 Active 580 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,999 Active 577 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,999 Active 576 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,999 Active 575 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,999 Active 574 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,999 Active 573 DOM
  14. 2025-08-23
    price $129,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  15. 2025-03-11
    price $147,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  16. 2024-12-08
    price $137,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  17. 2024-11-26
    price $140,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  18. 2024-11-23
    price $143,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  19. 2024-11-18
    price $145,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  20. 2024-11-15
    price $148,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  21. 2024-11-09
    price $154,999 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

  22. 2024-11-04
    listed $159,999 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    The first level of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan shared between the kitchen and living room, helping to maximize the footprint of the home. The owner's suite is situated at the back of the home, complete with an en-suite bathroom. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared living space with another bathroom.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,923
− Mortgage interest
−$7,259
− Property taxes
−$1,944
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$3,770
Taxable loss
−$1,926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$462
After-tax cash flow
$714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and marketability.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability.
  • Both Install energy-efficient windows — Reduces energy costs and enhances curb appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability.
  • Both Install energy-efficient windows — Reduces energy costs and enhances curb appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Central ISD
NCES district ID
4817850
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,941
Composite
18.67/100
National rank
#8887
State rank
#758 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,067
Household income
$91,320
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
1732.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.02%
Current HPI
236.4923
Rent YoY
▼ -1.08%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $129,999 Zillow
  • 2025-03-11 Price Changed $147,999 Zillow
  • 2024-12-08 Price Changed $137,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-26 Price Changed $140,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-23 Price Changed $143,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-18 Price Changed $145,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-15 Price Changed $148,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-09 Price Changed $154,999 Zillow
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $159,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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