17500 N Bay Rd Unit S-707 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$435,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Direct water view from every room through this 2/2 with floor to ceiling windows in every room. Nicely tiled throughout. 2 full bathrooms. Best location in Sunny Isles near everything and just few steps from the beach.
Key facts
- Tiled throughout
- Steps from the beach
- Water view
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Waterfront with Intracoastal access; Has a view
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes cable TV; Community amenities: fitness center, laundry, barbecue, picnic area
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); Carport (1 space); 1 covered parking space
- Security: Intercom; Key card entry
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium (attached); Faces west; Entry on level 7; 9-story building
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $435k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $355k (18.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $435k).
- Recommended offer: $355k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Norman S. Edelcup/Sunny Isles Beach K-8 (math 68% / reading 69%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 2,231 students, 30% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 64% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,383/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-38,995
- Equity at exit
- $137,892
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-34,005
- Equity at exit
- $175,303
Cash invested: $121,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1879
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,383 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,281
- Tax from tax record
- −$562 /mo · $6,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$181
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$465
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$921
- Net cashflow
- $-453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-207 | -5% $-330 | +0% $-453 | +5% $-577 | +10% $-700 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-800 | -5% $-627 | +0% $-453 | +5% $-280 | +10% $-107 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-234 | -0.5pp $-343 | base $-453 | +0.5pp $-566 | +1.0pp $-681 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,750
- Closing costs
- $13,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2387 | $19,800 | $8.29 | 20d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2387 | $19,000 | $7.96 | 7d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2325 | $18,000 | $7.74 | 4d | 9 | 1.15mi |
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2387 | $19,000 | $7.96 | 4d | 8 | 1.15mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $465 · $5,580/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $435,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $435,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $435,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $435,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $435,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $435,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $435,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $435,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $435,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $435,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $435,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $435,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $435,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $435,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $435,000
-
2026-03-12$450,000 Active
-
2026-03-10status Active
-
2026-01-05$450,000 Active
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-18$489,000 Active
-
2025-10-07historical
-
2025-07-21price $489,000
-
2025-07-19$389,000 Active
-
2022-06-27soldstatus $420,000
-
2022-06-20soldstatus $420,000 Closed
-
2022-03-02status Pending
-
2022-02-09$419,000 Active
-
2011-03-23historical
-
2010-09-23$239,000
-
1990-10-03soldstatus $89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,748 · $562/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,748 · $562/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,367
- − Property taxes
- −$6,748
- − Insurance
- −$7,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,208
- − Management
- −$4,208
- − HOA
- −$5,580
- − Depreciation
- −$12,655
- Taxable loss
- −$12,458
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,990
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+388.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $435,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $450,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $450,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $489,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $489,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-19 Listed $389,000 MARMLS
- 2022-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-20 Sold (MLS) $420,000 MARMLS
- 2022-03-02 Pending — MARMLS
- 2022-02-09 Listed $419,000 MARMLS
- 2011-03-23 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2010-09-23 Listed $239,000 Beaches MLS
- 1990-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $6,748 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…