113 SW Front St · New Boston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A chance to own a piece of New Boston's historical area. This fine example of craftsmanship is looking for its new lease on life!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Listed 24 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($775 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,178 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- New Boston ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #518 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.11%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,864
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 N Merrill | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (0%) | 4mo | $62,000 | $50 | 81 |
| 318 N Frost St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,237 (+0%) | 4mo | $51,000 | $41 | 67 |
| 406 Cannon | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+6%) | 2mo | $28,500 | $22 | 55 |
| 316 N Frost St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-6%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $103 | 53 |
| 101 Washington Cor | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (+7%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 108 E Mcgee Rd | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-10%) | 3mo | $84,999 | $77 | 41 |
| 104 Smith | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $125 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $17,805
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $45,770
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75570
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $549/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $378 | +0% $368 | +5% $358 | +10% $349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $338 | +0% $368 | +5% $399 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $386 | -0.5pp $377 | base $368 | +0.5pp $359 | +1.0pp $350 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 SE Front St Unit 106 New Boston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-28$35,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $549 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 16.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$549
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$744
- − Management
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $4,110
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$986
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Boston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832340
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,689
- Composite
- 30.06/100
- National rank
- #6351
- State rank
- #518 of 826 in TX
Livability — New Boston
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1178
- US rank
- #20597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Boston, TX
- City population
- 11,047
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,047
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 156.8696
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — TBOR
- 2026-03-31 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-03-28 Listed $35,000 TBOR
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $549 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…