CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
B- Composite 66.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.0/10.0

$65,000

922 State St St · Larned, KS 67550
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 359 Days on market
Built 1952 7,100 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • New ceiling fans
  • Remodeled home

Tags

REMODELED HOMESOLID SURFACE FLOORINGCOMPLETELY REMODELED FULL BATHNEW CEILING FANSROOF REPLACED IN 2019FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Entry level: 1
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 142 (0.17 acres); Zoned NC.1 / R-1

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($841 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#120 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Ft Larned (town): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #49 of 169 in KS (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pawnee County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 359 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $65k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 359 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.26%
Cash-on-cash
14.16%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$3,162
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$20,423
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67550

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$841 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2025-09-27
    price $65,000
  3. 2025-07-09
    status Active
  4. 2024-12-01
    historical
  5. 2024-10-10
    price $75,000
  6. 2024-10-02
    listed $89,000 Active
  7. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus $22,250
  8. 1993-09-01
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,086
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$807
− Management
−$807
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$394
After-tax cash flow
$2,184/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ft Larned
NCES district ID
2008370
Math proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$42,806
Composite
31.69/100
National rank
#5919
State rank
#49 of 169 in KS

Livability — Larned

Score
72/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#6324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Larned, KS
Population (ZIP)
5,137

Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,800 people
By 2030
6,739 · -0.9%
By 2040
6,627 · -2.5%
By 2050
6,477 · -4.8%
By 2075
6,369 · -6.3%
By 2100
6,266 · -7.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.95%
Current HPI
182.5283
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+271.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending Hays MLS
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $65,000 Hays MLS
  • 2025-07-09 Relisted Hays MLS
  • 2024-12-01 Delisted Hays MLS
  • 2024-10-10 Price Changed $75,000 Hays MLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $89,000 Hays MLS
  • 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,250 Public Records
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…