1253 S Brite Ave · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for an investor or future owner-occupant. Tenant currently in place. Property is being sold as-is
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.34 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: One-level home
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central Air; Forced Air heating
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($791/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parkview High (math 11% / reading 40%, grade F, #433 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,234 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 46% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.95%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,265
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -16.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1262 S Brite Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (0%) | 11mo | $164,900 | $167 | 89 |
| 1325 S Brite Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (+3%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $78 | 81 |
| 1141 S Hillcrest Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $172 | 69 |
| 1164 S Hillcrest Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 3145 W Lombard St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,032 (+4%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $165 | 63 |
| 3361 W Farm Rd 148 | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-8%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 3406 W Farm Road 148 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (+8%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $164 | 57 |
| 3242 W Page St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-8%) | 8mo | $117,000 | $128 | 50 |
| 1052 S Overhill Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (+14%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $178 | 49 |
| 2939 W Grand St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-15%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $137 | 39 |
| 1163 S Glenn Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,111 (+12%) | 13mo | $149,900 | $135 | 37 |
| 2900 W Lombard St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-9%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $33 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-19,832
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-14,041
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65807
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $877/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3861 W University St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 13d | 9 | 0.92mi |
| 547 S Hilton Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,175 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1040 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $945 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1020 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $950 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $850 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $995 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $975 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1625 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,321 | $1.47 | 13d | 5 | 1.42mi |
| 2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$145,000 Active 115-char remark
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $300,000
-
2018-11-29$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$530/yr (+$44/mo · 60.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$877
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,696
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$407
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,659
- Household income
- $53,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3420.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.97%
- Current HPI
- 210.4358
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+123.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 SOMO
- 2019-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-29 Listed $65,000 SOMO
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $877 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…