1731 Margaret St · Paris, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * Nice home with a HUGE back yard!!! Comes equipped with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, front patio, gas cooking stove, large concrete area in back yard with plug, basket ball goal, exterior camera system, storage shed with electric, and much more! * * *
Key facts
- Gas cooking stove
- Large back yard
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot of approximately 0.254 acres; Subdivision: Anita Park
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional terms
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no covered, carport, or garage spaces listed)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached: Yes; Built in 1930; One story
- Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing (wood)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; No heating system listed
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Decorative lighting; 7 total rooms; One-level layout; 1 living area; 1 dining area
- Laundry & utility: Utility room/laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Givens Early Childhood Center (103 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 70% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 665 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 665 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.83%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 19th St SE | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,010 (-14%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $153 | 68 |
| 336 14th St NE | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-5%) | 10mo | $149,990 | $134 | 68 |
| 1337 E Houston St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,090 (-8%) | 3mo | $179,500 | $165 | 64 |
| 613 SE 9th | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-5%) | 4mo | $88,480 | $79 | 62 |
| 740 10th St SE | 0.58mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 5mo | $114,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 230 NE 20th | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 8mo | $119,500 | $90 | 60 |
| 1061 19th St SE | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,096 (-7%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $55 | 58 |
| 349 Fitzhugh Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-3%) | 11mo | $52,000 | $46 | 56 |
| 2430 Culbertson St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+4%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 939 SE 12th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-8%) | 3mo | $49,900 | $46 | 52 |
| 2305 Pine Bluff St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-13%) | 9mo | $89,000 | $87 | 51 |
| 365 24th St SE | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+8%) | 8mo | $74,900 | $59 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,008
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,672
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75460
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 Cedar St Paris, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 649 E Price St Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 370 29th St NE Paris, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3215 Clarksville St Paris, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,395 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 132 7th St SW Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 665 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 664 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 663 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 662 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 661 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 659 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 658 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 655 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 653 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 645 DOM
-
2025-06-23soldstatus
-
2025-05-13price $119,900
-
2024-08-23$129,900 Active
-
2021-10-19soldstatus
-
2019-02-28soldstatus
-
2008-07-23soldstatus
-
2006-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,114 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,194 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$80/yr (+$7/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,114
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $71
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834290
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,515
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6419
- State rank
- #521 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, TX
- County
- Lamar County · 23,426 people
- City population
- 23,426
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,426
- Household income
- $46,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1355.0
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.50%
- Current HPI
- 145.3511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $119,900 NTREIS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2021-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,114 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…