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D+ Composite 45.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1731 Margaret St · Paris, TX 75460
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 665 Days on market
Built 1930 0.25 ac lot Est $106k · 13% over ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * Nice home with a HUGE back yard!!! Comes equipped with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, front patio, gas cooking stove, large concrete area in back yard with plug, basket ball goal, exterior camera system, storage shed with electric, and much more! * * *

Key facts

  • Gas cooking stove
  • Large back yard
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

LARGE BACK YARDGAS COOKING STOVEEXTERIOR CAMERA SYSTEMSTORAGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot of approximately 0.254 acres; Subdivision: Anita Park
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional terms
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no covered, carport, or garage spaces listed)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached: Yes; Built in 1930; One story
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing (wood)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; No heating system listed
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Decorative lighting; 7 total rooms; One-level layout; 1 living area; 1 dining area
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room/laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Givens Early Childhood Center (103 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 70% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 665 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 665 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.83%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 19th St SE 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,010 (-14%) 3mo $154,900 $153 68
336 14th St NE 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,120 (-5%) 10mo $149,990 $134 68
1337 E Houston St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,090 (-8%) 3mo $179,500 $165 64
613 SE 9th 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,120 (-5%) 4mo $88,480 $79 62
740 10th St SE 0.58mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+2%) 5mo $114,000 $95 61
230 NE 20th 0.27mi 2/1.0 1,328 (+12%) 8mo $119,500 $90 60
1061 19th St SE 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,096 (-7%) 1mo $60,000 $55 58
349 Fitzhugh Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,140 (-3%) 11mo $52,000 $46 56
2430 Culbertson St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+4%) 7mo $135,000 $110 56
939 SE 12th St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (-8%) 3mo $49,900 $46 52
2305 Pine Bluff St 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,028 (-13%) 9mo $89,000 $87 51
365 24th St SE 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,278 (+8%) 8mo $74,900 $59 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-9,008
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,672
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75460

Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,289 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,114/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,082
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2121 Cedar St Paris, TX 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,000 $1.43 43d 1 0.62mi
649 E Price St Paris, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.70mi
370 29th St NE Paris, TX 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,200 $0.98 43d 1 0.89mi
3215 Clarksville St Paris, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 895 $1,395 $1.56 43d 1 1.47mi
132 7th St SW Paris, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 665 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 664 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 663 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 662 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 661 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 659 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 658 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 655 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 654 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 653 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 649 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 648 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 647 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 646 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 645 DOM
  16. 2025-06-23
    soldstatus
  17. 2025-05-13
    price $119,900
  18. 2024-08-23
    listed $129,900 Active
  19. 2021-10-19
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus
  21. 2008-07-23
    soldstatus
  22. 2006-05-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,114 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,194 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$80/yr (+$7/mo · 3.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,462
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,114
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,237
− Management
−$1,237
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$71
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$17
After-tax cash flow
$1,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paris ISD
NCES district ID
4834290
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,515
Composite
29.83/100
National rank
#6419
State rank
#521 of 826 in TX

Livability — Paris

Score
61/100
State rank
#984
US rank
#17535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paris, TX
County
Lamar County · 23,426 people
City population
23,426
Metro
Paris, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,426
Household income
$46,473
Rent vs Own
49.7% rent · 50.3% own
Severe rent burden
1355.0

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,319 people
By 2030
47,160 · -2.4%
By 2040
44,621 · -7.7%
By 2050
42,024 · -13.0%
By 2075
36,577 · -24.3%
By 2100
30,580 · -36.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.50%
Current HPI
145.3511
Rent YoY
Metro
Paris, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $119,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-08-23 Listed $129,900 NTREIS
  • 2021-10-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,114 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…