🏗️ New Construction
Chickadee Plan · Owens Cross Roads, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,391
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
We are proud to introduce our brand new 55+ active adult cottage community in Huntsville, Alabama, voted the best place to live according to U. S. News & World Report. Our community offers the perfect balance of convenience, style, and fun. Say goodbye to the hassle of upkeep and hello to low-maintenance, carefree living. Our homes offer more than just a living space; they offer a lifestyle. Ideal for those seeking simplicity without compromising on comfort. From growing your own fruits and veggies in our community garden to exciting group activities in our pavilion clubhouse, we have everything you need to stay active and healthy. And with our access-controlled gated entry and privacy fence, you can enjoy peace of mind knowing that you and your home are safe and secure. Are you ready to embrace the simplicity and charm of our tiny home-inspired living? Don't wait, come experience the ultimate active lifestyle in our new 55+ active adult community today! Contact us to secure your very own sanctuary and embark on an extraordinary journey towards a simpler, more fulfilling life. Give us a call today!
Key facts
- Pavilion clubhouse
- Community garden
- Privacy fence
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-681 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (28.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.3% vs local median 4.3% in Owens Cross Roads — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#65 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison County Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 412 students, 59% FRL); Madison County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 483 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 433 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 781 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 781 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.68%
- DSCR
- 0.21
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,978
- List price
- $93,391
- Delta
- -43.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170 Long Dr | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (-4%) | 45mo | $51,400 | $76 | 57 |
| 6043 Margie Collins Dr | 1.04mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 892 (+28%) | 24mo | $259,900 | $291 | 13 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -50.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.50×
- Total profit
- $-69,101
- Equity at exit
- $24,599
- IRR
- -90.1%
- Equity multiple
- -1.42×
- Total profit
- $-111,926
- Equity at exit
- $14,264
Cash invested: $46,194 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active
- Median asking
- $90,450 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 344 d
- This list price
- 58% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +72.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35763
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 433
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$500
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $-681
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-567 | -5% $-624 | +0% $-681 | +5% $-738 | +10% $-795 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-777 | -5% $-729 | +0% $-681 | +5% $-633 | +10% $-585 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-598 | -0.5pp $-639 | base $-681 | +0.5pp $-723 | +1.0pp $-767 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,244
- Closing costs
- $4,949
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail $500/mo · $6,000/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $93,391 Active 781 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $93,391 Active 780 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $93,391 Active 779 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $93,391 Active 778 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $93,391 Active 777 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $93,391 Active 773 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $93,391 Active 771 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $93,391 Active 769 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $93,391 Active 767 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $93,391 Active 765 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $93,391 Active 764 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $93,391 Active 763 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $93,391 Active 760 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $93,391 Active 758 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $93,391 Active 757 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $93,391 Active 756 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $93,391 Active 755 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $93,391 Active 754 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $93,391 Active 752 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $93,391 Active 751 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $93,391 Active 750 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $93,391 Active 749 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $93,391 Active 748 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $93,391 Active 747 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $93,391 Active 746 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $93,391 Active 745 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $93,391 Active 744 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $93,391 Active 743 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $93,391 Active 742 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $93,391 Active 741 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $93,391 Active 740 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $93,391 Active 739 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $93,391 Active 738 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $93,391 Active 736 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $93,391 Active 734 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $93,391 Active 733 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $93,391 Active 730 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,391 Active 729 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $93,391 Active 728 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $93,391 Active 727 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $93,391 Active 725 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,391 Active 722 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,391 Active 721 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,391 Active 720 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $93,391 Active 719 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,391 Active 714 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,391 Active 713 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $93,391 Active 712 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $93,391 Active 711 DOM
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2024-09-23price $93,391 1121-char remark
Show marketing remark (1121 chars)
We are proud to introduce our brand new 55+ active adult cottage community in Huntsville, Alabama, voted the best place to live according to U. S. News & World Report. Our community offers the perfect balance of convenience, style, and fun. Say goodbye to the hassle of upkeep and hello to low-maintenance, carefree living. Our homes offer more than just a living space; they offer a lifestyle. Ideal for those seeking simplicity without compromising on comfort. From growing your own fruits and veggies in our community garden to exciting group activities in our pavilion clubhouse, we have everything you need to stay active and healthy. And with our access-controlled gated entry and privacy fence, you can enjoy peace of mind knowing that you and your home are safe and secure. Are you ready to embrace the simplicity and charm of our tiny home-inspired living? Don't wait, come experience the ultimate active lifestyle in our new 55+ active adult community today! Contact us to secure your very own sanctuary and embark on an extraordinary journey towards a simpler, more fulfilling life. Give us a call today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,573
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,241
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,799
- Taxable loss
- −$11,099
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,664
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant work is needed in the kitchen, bathrooms, exterior, and interior to improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — Significant wear and tear
- Major bathroom fixtures — Significant wear and tear
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major interior walls — Significant wear and tear
- Major flooring — Significant wear and tear
- Major landscaping — Significant wear and tear
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both kitchen and bathroom updates — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Owens Cross Roads
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #9303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 392,086 people
- City population
- 19,819
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,819
- Household income
- $123,497
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.43%
- Current HPI
- 281.0561
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+4.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-23 Price Changed $93,391 Zillow
- 2024-06-18 Listed $89,800 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…