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7059 County Road 246 S
B Composite 73.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

7059 County Road 246 S · Overton, TX 75705
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1950

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information

Key facts

  • Water well in place
  • Utilities on site
  • 3 acre property

Tags

3 ACRE PROPERTY580 FEET OF ROAD FRONTAGEUTILITIES ON SITEWATER WELL IN PLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located at 7059 County Road 246 S, Tyler TX 75705
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
  • Construction: Residential construction
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating
  • Interior features: No heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#432 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Chapel Hill ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #650 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Chapel Hill J H (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,015 of 1,662 statewide, top 62%, 502 students, 77% FRL); Chapel Hill H S (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,063 students, 75% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $833 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
19.06%
Cash-on-cash
45.61%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.8%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$54,936
Equity at exit
$28,930
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
6.57×
Total profit
$132,621
Equity at exit
$38,378

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75705

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,840 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $813/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $99,900 Active
  18. 2019-06-19
    soldstatus 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information

  19. 2019-05-18
    listed $37,400 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$813 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,556 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$742/yr (+$62/mo · 91.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,080
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$813
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$9,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,226
After-tax cash flow
$7,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chapel Hill ISD
NCES district ID
4813650
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,891
Composite
24.76/100
National rank
#7603
State rank
#650 of 826 in TX

Livability — Overton

Score
69/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#8906

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,471

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Scottish 6% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
144.823
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+167.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $99,900 GTAR
  • 2019-06-19 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2019-05-18 Listed $37,400 GTAR

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $813 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…