7059 County Road 246 S · Overton, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information
Key facts
- Water well in place
- Utilities on site
- 3 acre property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located at 7059 County Road 246 S, Tyler TX 75705
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating
- Interior features: No heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#432 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Chapel Hill ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #650 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Chapel Hill J H (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,015 of 1,662 statewide, top 62%, 502 students, 77% FRL); Chapel Hill H S (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,063 students, 75% FRL).
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $833 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.61%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $54,936
- Equity at exit
- $28,930
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $132,621
- Equity at exit
- $38,378
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75705
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $813/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $838
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$99,900 Active
-
2019-06-19soldstatus 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information
-
2019-05-18$37,400 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
If you are looking for a 5 acre tract of land to build your home in the Chapel Hill area take a glance at this property. Contact me for more information
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $813 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$742/yr (+$62/mo · 91.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$813
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $9,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,226
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chapel Hill ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4813650
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,891
- Composite
- 24.76/100
- National rank
- #7603
- State rank
- #650 of 826 in TX
Livability — Overton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #8906
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,471
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scottish 6% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Current HPI
- 144.823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+167.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $99,900 GTAR
- 2019-06-19 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2019-05-18 Listed $37,400 GTAR
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $813 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…