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2170 Avenida Redondo
D+ Composite 45.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

2170 Avenida Redondo · Santa Maria, CA 93458
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1990 2,210 sqft lot Est $206k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfectly priced and ready for your personal touches! Situated on California's beautiful Central Coast within the highly desirable 55+ gated community of Rancho Buena Vista, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,440 sq ft home facing the greenbelt & golf course offers comfort, functionality, and lifestyle amenities. Popular split floor plan with the primary en-suite bedroom on one side and the other two bedrooms on the opposite end and a spacious enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Plenty of storage throughout, a convenient indoor laundry room, and guest parking nearby. Great value and full of potential! Rancho Buena Vista residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a beautiful clubhouse with card and billiard rooms, library, remodeled kitchen, a 9-hole pitch-and-putt golf course, and a heated pool available year-round. An excellent opportunity to enjoy relaxed, affordable living in a welcoming tight-knit community. Space rent is approximately $1,070 /month.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Greenbelt
  • Split floor plan

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYGREENBELTGOLF COURSESPLIT FLOOR PLANENCLOSED PATIOINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: West on Taylor, North on Railroad. Gate for Rancho Buena Vista is on the left.
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval required; Land lease: $1,070 monthly (park)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces; Park name: Rancho Buena Vista
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Model: Majestic II; Mobile home remains; Mobile dimensions approximately 60' x 12'; Subdivision: SM Northwest(920)
  • Construction: Year built per public records; Living area per assessor's data
  • Exterior features: Association heated pool; Back yard; Close to clubhouse; Street lighting

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Side entry; Entry level: 1
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
519 W Taylor St #406 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (-2%) 3mo $315,000 $222 81
519 W Taylor St #232 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 10mo $140,000 $97 79
519 W Taylor St #365 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 10mo $120,000 $83 79
519 W Taylor #125 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 5mo $172,000 $119 79
2121 NW Via Visalia St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 3mo $315,000 $205 76
820 Vista Del Rio 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 4mo $249,900 $163 76
934 Vista Montana 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 1mo $233,000 $152 76
2148 Avenida Redondo 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 6mo $275,000 $179 75
519 W Taylor St #374 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-7%) 7mo $170,000 $126 65
519 W 519 W. Taylor St #141 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 7mo $95,000 $71 63
519 W Taylor St #26 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,330 (-8%) 3mo $190,000 $143 61
519 W Taylor St #371 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,620 (+12%) 6mo $130,000 $80 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-19,035
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$5,218
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93458

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,589 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$544
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $521 -5% $437 +0% $352 +5% $267 +10% $183
Rent -10% $147 -5% $250 +0% $352 +5% $454 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $475 -0.5pp $414 base $352 +0.5pp $288 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 E Orchard St Santa Maria, CA 2.0 1.0 1004 $2,850 $2.84 22d 1 1.26mi
Lynne Dr Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.5 1264 $3,000 $2.37 15d 1 1.36mi
715 W Alvin Ave Unit B Santa Maria, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,495 $2.50 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 126 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 125 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 124 DOM
  18. 2026-04-29
    status Active 982-char remark
    Show marketing remark (982 chars)

    Perfectly priced and ready for your personal touches! Situated on California's beautiful Central Coast within the highly desirable 55+ gated community of Rancho Buena Vista, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,440 sq ft home facing the greenbelt & golf course offers comfort, functionality, and lifestyle amenities. Popular split floor plan with the primary en-suite bedroom on one side and the other two bedrooms on the opposite end and a spacious enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Plenty of storage throughout, a convenient indoor laundry room, and guest parking nearby. Great value and full of potential! Rancho Buena Vista residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a beautiful clubhouse with card and billiard rooms, library, remodeled kitchen, a 9-hole pitch-and-putt golf course, and a heated pool available year-round. An excellent opportunity to enjoy relaxed, affordable living in a welcoming tight-knit community. Space rent is approximately $1,070 /month.

  19. 2026-04-26
    historical 982-char remark
    Show marketing remark (982 chars)

    Perfectly priced and ready for your personal touches! Situated on California's beautiful Central Coast within the highly desirable 55+ gated community of Rancho Buena Vista, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,440 sq ft home facing the greenbelt & golf course offers comfort, functionality, and lifestyle amenities. Popular split floor plan with the primary en-suite bedroom on one side and the other two bedrooms on the opposite end and a spacious enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Plenty of storage throughout, a convenient indoor laundry room, and guest parking nearby. Great value and full of potential! Rancho Buena Vista residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a beautiful clubhouse with card and billiard rooms, library, remodeled kitchen, a 9-hole pitch-and-putt golf course, and a heated pool available year-round. An excellent opportunity to enjoy relaxed, affordable living in a welcoming tight-knit community. Space rent is approximately $1,070 /month.

  20. 2026-01-26
    listed $245,000 Active 982-char remark
    Show marketing remark (982 chars)

    Perfectly priced and ready for your personal touches! Situated on California's beautiful Central Coast within the highly desirable 55+ gated community of Rancho Buena Vista, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,440 sq ft home facing the greenbelt & golf course offers comfort, functionality, and lifestyle amenities. Popular split floor plan with the primary en-suite bedroom on one side and the other two bedrooms on the opposite end and a spacious enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Plenty of storage throughout, a convenient indoor laundry room, and guest parking nearby. Great value and full of potential! Rancho Buena Vista residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a beautiful clubhouse with card and billiard rooms, library, remodeled kitchen, a 9-hole pitch-and-putt golf course, and a heated pool available year-round. An excellent opportunity to enjoy relaxed, affordable living in a welcoming tight-knit community. Space rent is approximately $1,070 /month.

  21. 2026-01-26
    listed $245,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (982 chars)

    Perfectly priced and ready for your personal touches! Situated on California's beautiful Central Coast within the highly desirable 55+ gated community of Rancho Buena Vista, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,440 sq ft home facing the greenbelt & golf course offers comfort, functionality, and lifestyle amenities. Popular split floor plan with the primary en-suite bedroom on one side and the other two bedrooms on the opposite end and a spacious enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Plenty of storage throughout, a convenient indoor laundry room, and guest parking nearby. Great value and full of potential! Rancho Buena Vista residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a beautiful clubhouse with card and billiard rooms, library, remodeled kitchen, a 9-hole pitch-and-putt golf course, and a heated pool available year-round. An excellent opportunity to enjoy relaxed, affordable living in a welcoming tight-knit community. Space rent is approximately $1,070 /month.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,064
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,485
− Management
−$2,485
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable income
$342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$82
After-tax cash flow
$4,140/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Maria-Bonita
NCES district ID
0605580
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,959
Composite
29.11/100
National rank
#11891
State rank
#1023 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Maria

Score
71/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#6519

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Maria, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
145,655
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
59,148
Household income
$75,257
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
2583.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 41% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 83%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
21% English-only · Spanish 72% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -422.91%
Current HPI
347.9281
Rent YoY
▲ 2.31%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $245,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $245,000 NSBCRMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $397 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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