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375 Colony Lakes Dr
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

375 Colony Lakes Dr · Red Bank, SC 29073
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 152 Days on market
Built 2013 9,147 sqft lot $18/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come tour this beautiful one-story home in Lexington! This gem features 3-beds, 2 bath, open floor plan with a large fenced backyard. It also boasts a covered porch, hardwood flooring in common areas and many updates. The kitchen contains granite countertops, backsplash, island, numerous stained cabinets, and stainless appliances. Owner's retreat has his & hers closets, private bath, large tub, dual vanity, and great natural light. The back yard is a child's dream play space and is fully fenced with an extended concrete patio for entertaining. The home has full gutters and a dog run making it perfect for any fur babies to enjoy. This one won't last long!! Disclaimer: CMLS has not re

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Stainless appliances
  • Dog run

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PORCHGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCESEXTENDED CONCRETE PATIODOG RUN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Property is part of an association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces); Garage located on the main level
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Rear-only wood fencing; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Pantry; Granite countertops; Stained wood cabinets; Tile floor; Backsplash
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with double vanity, his-and-hers closet, private bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower; Two additional bedrooms on main level with private closets and shared tub/shower baths
  • Flooring: Hardwood and carpet (bedrooms carpeted, main living areas hardwood); Tile in the kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors in the living room and formal dining room; Free-standing smooth-surface range
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a heated utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-39/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Red Bank Elementary (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #286 of 597 statewide, top 49%, 568 students, 41% FRL); Carolina Springs Middle (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #119 of 229 statewide, top 54%, 914 students, 46% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,873 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-42,736
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-35,773
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29073

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
572
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,069 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,433/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$18
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,073
Max offer price $264,425
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $147 -5% $72 +0% $-3 +5% $-78 +10% $-153
Rent -10% $-167 -5% $-85 +0% $-3 +5% $78 +10% $160
Rate -1.0pp $130 -0.5pp $64 base $-3 +0.5pp $-72 +1.0pp $-142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1603 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,033 $1.45 5d 1 0.34mi
1607 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 1783 $2,238 $1.26 25d 1 0.35mi
449 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC 3.0 3.0 1635 $1,995 $1.22 25d 1 0.45mi
464 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 2100 $2,150 $1.02 25d 1 0.46mi
110 Darian Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,949 $1.43 16d 1 0.53mi
290 Browning Ct Unit b Lexington, SC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 23d 1 0.74mi
120 W Lake Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,880 $1.27 5d 1 0.85mi
212 Pin Oak Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,710 $1.27 16d 1 0.86mi
140 Land of Lakes Cir Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,925 $1.33 5d 1 0.91mi
919 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 2022 $2,299 $1.14 25d 1 0.93mi
847 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,850 $1.42 16d 1 0.97mi
128 S Wrenwood Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,695 $1.36 25d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$18 · $216/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 151 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 134 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    price $265,000
  15. 2026-01-17
    listed $279,900 Active
  16. 2022-04-05
    soldstatus $240,000
  17. 2022-02-28
    historical
  18. 2022-02-23
    listed $215,000 Active
  19. 2012-08-10
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,433 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,510 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$77/yr (+$6/mo · 5.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,825
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$1,433
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,986
− Management
−$1,986
− HOA
−$216
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$4,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$1,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 01
NCES district ID
4502700
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,298
Composite
41.75/100
National rank
#3399
State rank
#11 of 80 in SC

Livability — Red Bank

Score
66/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#11985

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Red Bank, SC
County
Lexington County · 232,571 people
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
53,156
Household income
$77,229
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
322,999 people
By 2030
342,356 · +6.0%
By 2040
377,715 · +16.9%
By 2050
406,984 · +26.0%
By 2075
465,447 · +44.1%
By 2100
485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.20%
Current HPI
249.8957
Rent YoY
▲ 3.24%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+268.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $265,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $279,900 Consolidated MLS
  • 2022-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-28 Delisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2022-02-23 Listed $215,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2012-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,433 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…