375 Colony Lakes Dr · Red Bank, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come tour this beautiful one-story home in Lexington! This gem features 3-beds, 2 bath, open floor plan with a large fenced backyard. It also boasts a covered porch, hardwood flooring in common areas and many updates. The kitchen contains granite countertops, backsplash, island, numerous stained cabinets, and stainless appliances. Owner's retreat has his & hers closets, private bath, large tub, dual vanity, and great natural light. The back yard is a child's dream play space and is fully fenced with an extended concrete patio for entertaining. The home has full gutters and a dog run making it perfect for any fur babies to enjoy. This one won't last long!! Disclaimer: CMLS has not re
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Stainless appliances
- Dog run
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Property is part of an association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces); Garage located on the main level
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Rear-only wood fencing; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Pantry; Granite countertops; Stained wood cabinets; Tile floor; Backsplash
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with double vanity, his-and-hers closet, private bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower; Two additional bedrooms on main level with private closets and shared tub/shower baths
- Flooring: Hardwood and carpet (bedrooms carpeted, main living areas hardwood); Tile in the kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood floors in the living room and formal dining room; Free-standing smooth-surface range
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a heated utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-39/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (21.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Red Bank Elementary (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #286 of 597 statewide, top 49%, 568 students, 41% FRL); Carolina Springs Middle (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #119 of 229 statewide, top 54%, 914 students, 46% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-42,736
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-35,773
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29073
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,069 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,433/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$18
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $147 | -5% $72 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-78 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-85 | +0% $-3 | +5% $78 | +10% $160 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $64 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-72 | +1.0pp $-142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1603 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,033 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1607 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $2,238 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 449 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $1,995 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 464 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 110 Darian Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,949 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 290 Browning Ct Unit b Lexington, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 120 W Lake Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,880 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 212 Pin Oak Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,710 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 140 Land of Lakes Cir Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,925 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 919 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2022 | $2,299 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 847 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 128 S Wrenwood Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $18 · $216/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $265,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $265,000
-
2026-01-17$279,900 Active
-
2022-04-05soldstatus $240,000
-
2022-02-28historical
-
2022-02-23$215,000 Active
-
2012-08-10soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,433 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,510 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$77/yr (+$6/mo · 5.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,433
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,986
- − Management
- −$1,986
- − HOA
- −$216
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$4,675
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502700
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,298
- Composite
- 41.75/100
- National rank
- #3399
- State rank
- #11 of 80 in SC
Livability — Red Bank
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #11985
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Red Bank, SC
- County
- Lexington County · 232,571 people
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,156
- Household income
- $77,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.20%
- Current HPI
- 249.8957
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.24%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+268.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $265,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $279,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2022-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-28 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2022-02-23 Listed $215,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2012-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,433 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…