1628 Mowbry Ln · Dellwood, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.3/15.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1628 Mowbry — a well-maintained and spacious home offering strong value and comfortable living. This property features generous living space, a functional layout, and excellent potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Currently tenant-occupied, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, shopping, and local amenities, the property combines affordability with long-term potential. Whether you’re looking to expand your portfolio or secure a solid investment, 1628 Mowbry is worth a look.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near shopping
- Near major roads
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with space for 1 car
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Front yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement with 8+ ft pour
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.2% in Dellwood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lemasters Elem. (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,058 of 1,115 statewide, top 96%, 295 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $130k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.20%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,176
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9871 Medford Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+4%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $131 | 74 |
| 1719 Newhall Ct | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (+7%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 10020 Dellridge Ln | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-10%) | 1mo | $49,900 | $61 | 65 |
| 10038 Balboa Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $58 | 61 |
| 1354 Stein Rd | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 982 (+8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $163 | 57 |
| 1646 Hudson Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+11%) | 2mo | $164,500 | $162 | 54 |
| 1829 Chambers Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-10%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $43 | 52 |
| 10515 Alliance Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+11%) | 0mo | $112,900 | $111 | 51 |
| 10418 Quaker Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (+11%) | 2mo | $64,900 | $64 | 50 |
| 9828 Lorna Ln | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-13%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 1923 Nashua Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+11%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $148 | 46 |
| 10269 Dacey Dr | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+11%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $167 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $35,794
- Equity at exit
- $64,322
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $108,226
- Equity at exit
- $103,956
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,327/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $225 | +0% $188 | +5% $151 | +10% $115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $85 | -5% $136 | +0% $188 | +5% $240 | +10% $292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $254 | -0.5pp $221 | base $188 | +0.5pp $154 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,480 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 9d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,323 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 9d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 920 Hutton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 877 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 650 Robert Ave Ferguson, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,224 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2974 Coppercreek Rd St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $895 | $1.27 | 0d | 6 | 1.06mi |
| 945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 35 S Barat Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2155 Hecht Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,162 | $1.73 | 0d | 23 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$130,000 Active
-
2026-01-10$135,000 Active
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2020-08-21soldstatus $37,000
-
2020-04-01soldstatus $750,000
-
2016-10-18soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,327
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$39
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Dellwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #11618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dellwood, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+1200.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-10 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2022): $1,327 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…