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1628 Mowbry Ln
C- Composite 50.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0

$130,000

1628 Mowbry Ln · Dellwood, MO 63136
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1955 7,501 sqft lot Est $112k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1628 Mowbry — a well-maintained and spacious home offering strong value and comfortable living. This property features generous living space, a functional layout, and excellent potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Currently tenant-occupied, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, shopping, and local amenities, the property combines affordability with long-term potential. Whether you’re looking to expand your portfolio or secure a solid investment, 1628 Mowbry is worth a look.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Near major roads

Tags

NEAR MAJOR ROADSNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with space for 1 car
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Front yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with 8+ ft pour

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.2% in Dellwood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lemasters Elem. (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,058 of 1,115 statewide, top 96%, 295 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $130k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$112,176
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9871 Medford Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 950 (+4%) 2mo $124,900 $131 74
1719 Newhall Ct 0.42mi 3/1.0 975 (+7%) 0mo $120,000 $123 69
10020 Dellridge Ln 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-10%) 1mo $49,900 $61 65
10038 Balboa Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 864 (-5%) 2mo $49,900 $58 61
1354 Stein Rd 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 982 (+8%) 2mo $160,000 $163 57
1646 Hudson Rd 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+11%) 2mo $164,500 $162 54
1829 Chambers Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-10%) 2mo $34,900 $43 52
10515 Alliance Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+11%) 0mo $112,900 $111 51
10418 Quaker Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,014 (+11%) 2mo $64,900 $64 50
9828 Lorna Ln 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-13%) 2mo $65,000 $82 50
1923 Nashua Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+11%) 1mo $149,900 $148 46
10269 Dacey Dr 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (+11%) 1mo $169,000 $167 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$35,794
Equity at exit
$64,322
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$108,226
Equity at exit
$103,956

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,327/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,072
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $262 -5% $225 +0% $188 +5% $151 +10% $115
Rent -10% $85 -5% $136 +0% $188 +5% $240 +10% $292
Rate -1.0pp $254 -0.5pp $221 base $188 +0.5pp $154 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 25d 1 0.08mi
1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,480 $1.46 45d 1 0.33mi
9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,175 $1.14 45d 1 0.37mi
9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,175 $1.14 45d 1 0.42mi
10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 25d 1 0.43mi
9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 13d 1 0.44mi
9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 45d 1 0.45mi
9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 45d 1 0.48mi
1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 25d 1 0.57mi
9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 45d 1 0.64mi
10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,400 $1.77 4d 1 0.65mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 25d 1 0.68mi
9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,485 $1.63 45d 1 0.70mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 9d 1 0.71mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 16d 1 0.72mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 25d 1 0.76mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 0d 1 0.76mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 45d 1 0.76mi
9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,323 $1.25 45d 1 0.80mi
9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 9d 1 0.81mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $900 $1.14 45d 1 0.82mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $900 $1.14 0d 1 0.82mi
502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 840 $1,250 $1.49 45d 1 0.83mi
920 Hutton Pl Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,195 $1.31 45d 1 0.85mi
104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,250 $1.30 25d 1 0.87mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 45d 1 0.89mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 25d 1 0.90mi
338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 904 $1,150 $1.27 0d 1 0.90mi
338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 904 $1,150 $1.27 45d 1 0.90mi
1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 877 $1,050 $1.20 45d 1 0.96mi
307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 19d 1 1.01mi
650 Robert Ave Ferguson, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,224 $1.50 45d 1 1.04mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 858 $1,175 $1.37 25d 1 1.04mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 25d 1 1.05mi
415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,400 $1.72 45d 1 1.05mi
2974 Coppercreek Rd St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 705 $895 $1.27 0d 6 1.06mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,575 $1.42 45d 1 1.06mi
227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.17mi
35 S Barat Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 0d 1 1.20mi
2155 Hecht Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 673 $1,162 $1.73 0d 23 1.21mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $130,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-10
    listed $135,000 Active
  18. 2026-01-08
    historical
  19. 2020-08-21
    soldstatus $37,000
  20. 2020-04-01
    soldstatus $750,000
  21. 2016-10-18
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,716
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,327
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$160
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$39
After-tax cash flow
$2,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Dellwood

Score
66/100
State rank
#239
US rank
#11618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dellwood, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1200.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,327 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…