🏷️ Likely Rental
8319 NE 10th St · Midwest City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
Key facts
- Fenced property
- 0.35 acre lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.6% in Midwest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.51%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,746
- List price
- $99,990
- Delta
- -25.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1125 Jasmine Ln | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (+4%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $140 | 76 |
| 1100 Sycamore Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (+4%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $82 | 70 |
| 1408 N Douglas Blvd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (-0%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 1029 Hickory Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (+4%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $128 | 67 |
| 3508 N Holman Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (+4%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $148 | 67 |
| 1000 N Locust Ln | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 916 (+11%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $138 | 66 |
| 4312 Bonaparte Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 876 (+6%) | 6mo | $142,500 | $163 | 65 |
| 1116 Hickory Ln | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+7%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 3304 Woodside Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (+4%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $128 | 60 |
| 3905 Parkwoods Ln | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 942 (+14%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $96 | 59 |
| 1024 Locust Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 932 (+13%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $166 | 58 |
| 1312 Hickory Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 902 (+9%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $170 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,064
- Equity at exit
- $14,909
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,870
- Equity at exit
- $8,645
Cash invested: $27,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73110
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $961/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $232 | -5% $204 | +0% $175 | +5% $147 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $93 | -5% $134 | +0% $175 | +5% $216 | +10% $257 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $226 | -0.5pp $201 | base $175 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,998
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1020 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $895 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 8511 Justin Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4033 S Locust Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1008 Willow Brook Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1045 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3609 Woodside Dr Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $995 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3513 Parkwoods Ln Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 903 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 801 Meadowridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3512 N Holman Ct Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,275 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1632 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $895 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1312 N Midwest Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $970 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3413 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $975 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3409 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 940 | $999 | $1.06 | 2d | 23 | 0.60mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 104 Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $800 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 112 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 167 Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Apt 255 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8910 Oak Valley Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1168 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,020 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $850 | $1.06 | 12d | 34 | 0.65mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 327 N Midwest Blvd Unit 205 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $900 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9212 Jennifer Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1400 Marydale Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8517 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $859 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8717 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 208 W Shadywood Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8032 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $850 | $1.10 | 3d | 3 | 1.15mi |
| 1525 McGregor Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $1,275 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 721 E Bouse Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,225 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1617 N Christine Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 641 E Frolich Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $975 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1250 N Air Depot Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 692 | $909 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2823 Juvene Cir Spencer, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 121 Gill Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,990 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,990 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,990 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,990 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,990 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,990 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,990 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,990 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,990 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-03-05status Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
-
2026-02-26status Pending 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
-
2026-02-20status Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
-
2026-02-16status Pending 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
-
2025-12-30$99,990 Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
** Property to be sold as is ** Newly vacated rental for sale. Fenced property on NE 10th street, some updates but ready for your special touches. land goes beyond the fence. Was previously rented for 1200 per month. Could easily be listed back for rent with top rental amounts
-
2025-12-16historical
-
2025-11-13price $100,000
-
2025-10-24price $385,000
-
2025-09-29status Active
-
2025-07-22status Pending
-
2025-07-16price $400,000
-
2025-04-29$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$961
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Midwest City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midwest City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 57,386
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,348
- Household income
- $51,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.0791
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-9.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-02-26 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-02-16 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-12-30 Listed $99,990 MLSOK
- 2025-12-16 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $100,000 MLSOK
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $385,000 MLSOK
- 2025-09-29 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2025-07-22 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $400,000 MLSOK
- 2025-04-29 Listed $110,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $961 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…