42064 Arthur St · Belleville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-maintained brick ranch in Van Buren Township featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a spacious 2.5-car detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, I-94, and I-275. Recent updates include fresh interior paint throughout, a recently updated bathroom, a brand new garage door installed in April 2026, and a brand new refrigerator included in the sale. Move-in ready with plenty of space and functionality to make it your own. * * OPEN HOUSE: SUNDAY, MAY 24TH 2:00 - 4:00PM * *
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1970
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $3,241.82 annual tax
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with approximately 2.5 car capacity
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 60 x 125 (0.17 acres); No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes oven, range, and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Oven, Range, Refrigerator; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($663/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#164 in MI, #4,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Van Buren Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tyler Road Elementary School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 363 students, 67% FRL); Mcbride Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Belleville High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,770 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $137k; list at $220k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.08%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,948
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10819 Buchanan St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,163 (0%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $202 | 92 |
| 10705 Van Buren St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,199 (+3%) | 3mo | $227,000 | $189 | 87 |
| 11137 Jackson St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,163 (0%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $198 | 84 |
| 10753 Van Buren St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-5%) | 1mo | $235,100 | $214 | 83 |
| 42107 Lincoln St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,163 (0%) | 2mo | $227,900 | $196 | 81 |
| 10624 Jackson St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,163 (0%) | 18mo | $214,000 | $184 | 80 |
| 42000 Arthur St | 0.06mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,163 (0%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $159 | 77 |
| 42204 Mcbride Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,163 (0%) | 23mo | $204,000 | $175 | 76 |
| 10634 Van Buren Ln | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (-6%) | 21mo | $205,000 | $187 | 68 |
| 9445 Van Buren St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (+1%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $209 | 66 |
| 9832 Van Buren St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-14%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $200 | 56 |
| 41613 Arthur St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,047 (-10%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $148 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-30,991
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-17,778
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48111
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,821 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $117 | +0% $55 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-89 | -5% $-17 | +0% $55 | +5% $127 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $166 | -0.5pp $111 | base $55 | +0.5pp $-2 | +1.0pp $-60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9916 Kennedy St Van Buren Township, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1199 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10910 Independence Ln Belleville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,540 | $1.66 | 0d | 20 | 0.37mi |
| 10830 Oak Ln Belleville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,540 | $1.88 | 0d | 42 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-22$219,900 Active
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained brick ranch in Van Buren Township featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a spacious 2.5-car detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, I-94, and I-275. Recent updates include fresh interior paint throughout, a recently updated bathroom, a brand new garage door installed in April 2026, and a brand new refrigerator included in the sale. Move-in ready with plenty of space and functionality to make it your own. * * OPEN HOUSE: SUNDAY, MAY 24TH 2:00 - 4:00PM * *
-
2026-05-22$219,900 Active 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained brick ranch in Van Buren Township featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a spacious 2.5-car detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, I-94, and I-275. Recent updates include fresh interior paint throughout, a recently updated bathroom, a brand new garage door installed in April 2026, and a brand new refrigerator included in the sale. Move-in ready with plenty of space and functionality to make it your own. * * OPEN HOUSE: SUNDAY, MAY 24TH 2:00 - 4:00PM * *
-
2026-05-18historical $219,900 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained brick ranch in Van Buren Township featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a spacious 2.5-car detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, I-94, and I-275. Recent updates include fresh interior paint throughout, a recently updated bathroom, a brand new garage door installed in April 2026, and a brand new refrigerator included in the sale. Move-in ready with plenty of space and functionality to make it your own. * * OPEN HOUSE: SUNDAY, MAY 24TH 2:00 - 4:00PM * *
-
2019-10-22soldstatus $137,000
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2019-09-16soldstatus $137,000 Sold 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-09-16soldstatus $137,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-08-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-08-03status Pending 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-07-29$129,900 Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-07-29$129,900 Active
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
A BEAUTIFUL, MUST SEE brick Ranch home freshly painted, 1163 SF, 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, which one bath is includes in Master Bedroom en-suite, Eat-in kitchen with appliances, laundry and potential mudroom/drop zone off the kitchen. Hardwood floors. Central air. Three-Car detached garage. Spacious fenced backyard. Minutes to DTW Airport, I-94 and 275 freeways, ALL DATA APPROX BUYER AGENT TO VERIFY!
-
2019-07-18historical
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2019-07-18historical
-
2019-07-09status Active
-
2019-07-09status Active
-
2019-06-22status Pending
-
2019-06-22status Pending
-
2019-06-20price $140,000
-
2019-06-19price $140,000
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2019-06-11$150,000 Active
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2019-06-11$150,000 Active
-
2006-07-27soldstatus $156,500
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2006-05-25soldstatus $156,500
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2006-02-08$157,900
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2006-02-08historical
-
2006-02-07$155,900
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2005-02-16soldstatus $144,000
-
2004-10-18soldstatus $144,000
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2004-05-27$144,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,525 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- +$861/yr (+$72/mo · 51.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,664
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$3,121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$749
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,412/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Buren Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634560
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,166
- Composite
- 33.2/100
- National rank
- #5533
- State rank
- #228 of 540 in MI
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #4360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 44,709
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,709
- Household income
- $76,595
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1200.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -238.11%
- Current HPI
- 236.4458
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+52.7% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $219,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-22 Listed $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-16 Sold (MLS) $137,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-16 Sold (MLS) $137,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-29 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-29 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-07-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-20 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-19 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-11 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-11 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
- 2006-05-25 Sold (MLS) $156,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-02-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-02-08 Listed $157,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-02-07 Listed $155,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-18 Sold (MLS) $144,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-27 Listed $144,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,664 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…