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1400 Oak St
B- Composite 69.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$63,900

1400 Oak St · Henderson, KY 42420
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 643 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1948 4,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 2 bedroom, 1 bath property offering comfort, character, and practical living. space. Inside, you'll find beautiful wood floors that add warmth and appeal throughout the home. Step outside to enjoy the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing with your morning coffee or entertaining family and friends. The fully fenced backyard provides room to play, garden or gather around the dedicated fire put area on cool evenings. A detached garage with a concrete floor offers excellent storage space for tools, outdoor equipment, or hobby items. Off-street parking adds convenience and peace of mind. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or seeking an investment oppo

Key facts

  • Wood floors
  • Off-street parking
  • Covered back porch

Tags

WOOD FLOORSCOVERED BACK PORCHFULLY FENCED BACKYARDDEDICATED FIRE PIT AREADETACHED GARAGEOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Wood fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Tile and wood flooring; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $64k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#114 in KY, #4,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henderson County (suburban): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #29 of 165 in KY (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Heights Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #607 of 676 statewide, top 91%, 420 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Henderson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henderson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.60%
Cash-on-cash
22.52%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$11,028
Equity at exit
$9,528
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$37,129
Equity at exit
$5,525

Cash invested: $17,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42420

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$949 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$335
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $627/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $63,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,975
Closing costs
$1,917
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Fair St Henderson, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0 740 $949 $1.28 13d 9 1.08mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $63,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $63,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    price $63,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$627 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$627 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,388
− Mortgage interest
−$3,579
− Property taxes
−$627
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$911
− Management
−$911
− Depreciation
−$1,859
Taxable income
$3,182
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$764
After-tax cash flow
$3,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henderson County
NCES district ID
2102710
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$41,772
Composite
34.13/100
National rank
#5285
State rank
#29 of 165 in KY

Livability — Henderson

Score
74/100
State rank
#114
US rank
#4949

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Henderson, KY
Population (ZIP)
38,434

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,910 people
By 2030
46,841 · -0.1%
By 2040
46,018 · -1.9%
By 2050
44,390 · -5.4%
By 2075
40,442 · -13.8%
By 2100
33,538 · -28.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.2) · D 34.7% · R 64.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -29.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.2 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+11.8 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.69%
Current HPI
207.5676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $69,900 HABOR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $627 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…