33 Montana 16 · West Glendive, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Steel skirting
- Refrigerator
- Dish washer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#69 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Glendive Elementary (town): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #87 of 116 in MT (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dawson County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.56%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $18,386
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $54,342
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59330
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,144
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to its roof, exterior, interior, HVAC, mechanical systems, landscaping, and foundation. Significant investment is needed to bring the property up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The satellite image indicates the roof is missing or damaged.
- Major exterior siding — The siding is peeling and the exterior paint is faded.
- Major interior flooring — The satellite image shows bare ground, suggesting the interior flooring is missing or in poor condition.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of the HVAC or mechanical systems are available to assess their condition.
- Major landscaping — Minimal landscaping and a lack of curb appeal are visible in the satellite image.
- Major foundation/structure — No photos of the foundation or structure are available to assess its condition.
- Major windows — No photos of the windows are available to assess their condition. However, the siding and exterior paint suggest they may be in poor condition as well.
Value-add opportunities
- Both roof replacement — Replacing the roof would improve the home's appearance and functionality.
- Both exterior siding and paint — Updating the siding and paint would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value.
- Both interior flooring — Replacing the interior flooring would improve the home's functionality and appearance.
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency.
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal would enhance the home's overall appearance and value.
- Both foundation and structure repairs — Repairing the foundation and structure would ensure the home's structural integrity and safety.
- Both window repairs or replacements — Repairing or replacing the windows would improve the home's energy efficiency and appearance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The satellite image indicates the roof is missing or damaged. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The siding is peeling and the exterior paint is faded. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior flooring · The satellite image shows bare ground, suggesting the interior flooring is missing or in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of the HVAC or mechanical systems are available to assess their condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Minimal landscaping and a lack of curb appeal are visible in the satellite image. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation/structure · No photos of the foundation or structure are available to assess its condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · No photos of the windows are available to assess their condition. However, the siding and exterior paint suggest they may be in poor condition as well. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both roof replacement — Replacing the roof would improve the home's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both exterior siding and paint — Updating the siding and paint would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both interior flooring — Replacing the interior flooring would improve the home's functionality and appearance. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal would enhance the home's overall appearance and value. ↑
- Both foundation and structure repairs — Repairing the foundation and structure would ensure the home's structural integrity and safety. ↑
- Both window repairs or replacements — Repairing or replacing the windows would improve the home's energy efficiency and appearance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glendive Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 3012510
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,726
- Composite
- 23.73/100
- National rank
- #7825
- State rank
- #87 of 116 in MT
Livability — West Glendive
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #7019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Glendive, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,281
Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,008 people
- By 2030
- 11,795 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 13,471 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 15,363 · +39.6%
- By 2075
- 20,473 · +86.0%
- By 2100
- 23,528 · +113.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Dawson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.3% · R 78.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.8 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.12%
- Current HPI
- 144.3453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $70,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…