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9722 Cargill St
F Composite 34.69
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$195,000

9722 Cargill St · Houston, TX 77029
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,059 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 2019 5,000 sqft lot Est $160k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2019

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (25.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woodland Acres El (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 443 students, 85% FRL); Woodland Acres Middle (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 603 students, 85% FRL); Galena Park H S (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,914 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 11718% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,859 (25.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.78%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,909
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9722 Cargill St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,059 (0%) 0mo $195,000 $184 100
10118 Fairfax St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+3%) 4mo $133,500 $123 70
10114 Fairfax St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,124 (+6%) 8mo $100,000 $89 62
3615 Harcroft St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,156 (+9%) 20mo $169,900 $147 61
10113 Flaxman St 0.41mi 3/1.0 994 (-6%) 13mo $150,000 $151 56
10121 Fairfax St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+6%) 24mo $200,000 $179 52
10150 Fairfax St 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+8%) 22mo $218,999 $191 43
8767 Flossie Mae St 0.69mi 3/1.0 914 (-14%) 24mo $126,000 $138 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$88,307
Equity at exit
$175,671
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.03×
Total profit
$274,627
Equity at exit
$378,842

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77029

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,670 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$433 /mo · $5,194/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$-284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,029
Max offer price $144,859
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-173 -5% $-229 +0% $-284 +5% $-339 +10% $-394
Rent -10% $-416 -5% $-350 +0% $-284 +5% $-218 +10% $-152
Rate -1.0pp $-186 -0.5pp $-234 base $-284 +0.5pp $-334 +1.0pp $-386

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9806 Fillmore St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 45d 1 0.05mi
9709 Cargill St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1184 $2,300 $1.94 45d 1 0.07mi
9907 Lanewell St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,154 $1.32 24d 1 0.20mi
9710 Tuffly St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,795 $1.41 26d 1 0.20mi
9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,095 $1.26 45d 1 0.40mi
9821 Turnbow St Unit C Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,720 $1.51 45d 1 0.50mi
9743 Veyblum St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,145 $1.31 7d 1 0.54mi
9701 Market St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 798 $1,309 $1.64 9d 1 0.81mi
8726 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 45d 1 0.82mi
10202 Challenger 7 Dr Unit 10259 Jacinto City, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 0d 1 0.85mi
10202 Challenger 7 Dr Unit 422 Jacinto City, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,115 $1.24 9d 1 0.85mi
10202 Challenger 7 Dr Unit 424 Jacinto City, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,115 $1.24 7d 1 0.85mi
10202 Challenger 7 Dr Unit 2047 Jacinto City, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 13d 1 0.85mi
8710 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,090 $1.09 1d 1 0.86mi
10208 Challenger 7 Dr Jacinto City, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,190 $1.32 45d 1 0.87mi
8735 Cowart St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,000 $0.88 45d 1 0.89mi
8534 Fillmore St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 965 $1,600 $1.66 45d 1 1.03mi
335 Delaware St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $940 $1.20 14d 1 1.35mi
205 Bolden St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 45d 1 1.37mi
403 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,399 $1.54 1d 1 1.45mi
423 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,499 $1.38 1d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $195,000 Pending 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    status $195,000 Active Under Contract 88 DOM
  9. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  10. 2026-04-23
    historical $1,650
  11. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  12. 2026-03-31
    listed $1,650
  13. 2026-03-05
    price $195,000
  14. 2026-02-04
    historical $1,750
  15. 2026-02-01
    listed $205,000 Active
  16. 2026-01-01
    listed $1,750
  17. 2025-12-21
    historical $1,750
  18. 2025-12-18
    listed $1,750
  19. 2025-11-28
    historical $1,750
  20. 2025-11-08
    listed $1,750
  21. 2025-11-05
    historical $1,750
  22. 2025-10-09
    price $1,750
  23. 2025-09-24
    listed $1,850
  24. 2025-06-30
    historical
  25. 2025-05-14
    price $240,000
  26. 2025-03-30
    listed $250,000 Active
  27. 2024-04-13
    historical $1,650
  28. 2024-03-28
    listed $1,650
  29. 2023-12-25
    historical $1,750
  30. 2023-10-26
    listed $1,750
  31. 2020-05-01
    soldstatus Sold 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

  32. 2019-10-12
    status Pending 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

  33. 2019-09-21
    price $134,999 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

  34. 2019-09-12
    price $139,999 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

  35. 2019-09-11
    listed $134,999 Active 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    THIS BEAUTIFUL CENSEO HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND IS AN ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME, ABSOLUTELY CHARMING, WITH OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN OVERLOOKING THE LARGE LIVING-DINING COMBO, WHICH MAKES IT PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. BEAUTIFUL BLACK WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCE PACKAGE, MOEN PLUMBING FIXTURES, FULLY SHEETROCKED GARAGE, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, ENGINEERED AND INSPECTED BY THIRD PARTY ENGINEER, 14.5 SEER HVAC SYSTEM, DOUBLE PANE INSULATED LOW-E WINDOWS, CONTINUOUS SOFFIT VENTS AND AIR HAWK VENTILATION SYSTEM, LP TECHSHIELD RADIANT BARRIER ROOF DECKING, SHERWIN WILLIAMS PAINT INSIDE AND OUT, JAMES HARDI SIDING, WARRANTY: 1 YR WORKMANSHIP & MATERIALS, 2 YR ALL SYSTEMS-PLUMBING, ELECTRICAL, HVAC & OTHER MECHANICAL SYSTEMS, 10 YR MAJOR STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS

  36. 2019-02-26
    historical
  37. 2018-11-14
    listed $139,900 Active
  38. 2017-12-27
    soldstatus
  39. 1990-07-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,194 · $433/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,194 · $433/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,040
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$5,194
− Insurance
−$1,772
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,603
− Management
−$1,603
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$6,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,615
After-tax cash flow
$-1,791/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,154
Household income
$48,279
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
457.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 61%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.53%
Current HPI
276.1811
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.8% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Rental Removed $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed for Rent $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $195,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Rental Removed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $205,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed for Rent $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-21 Rental Removed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Rental Removed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Rental Removed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,850 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-30 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-13 Rental Removed $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-28 Listed for Rent $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2023-12-25 Rental Removed $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-26 Listed for Rent $1,750 HARMLS
  • 2020-05-01 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2019-10-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-09-21 Price Changed $134,999 HARMLS
  • 2019-09-12 Price Changed $139,999 HARMLS
  • 2019-09-11 Listed $134,999 HARMLS
  • 2019-02-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2018-11-14 Listed $139,900 HARMLS
  • 2017-12-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-07-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+21.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,194 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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